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Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes
Engels, Anita;
Marotzke, Jochem;
Gresse, Eduardo;
López-Rivera, Andrés;
Pagnone, Anna;
Wilkens, Jan
Researcher(s)
Aykut, Stefan;
Bähring, Jill;
Bassen, Alexander;
Beer, Christian;
Brovkin, Victor;
Brüggemann, Michael;
Busch, Timo;
Commelin, Solange;
d'Amico, Emilie;
de Vrese, Philipp;
Engels, Anita;
Frisch, Thomas;
Fröhlich, Christiane;
Fünfgeld, Anna;
Gresse, Eduardo;
Guenther, Lars;
Guillén Bolaños, Tania;
Hanf, Franziska S.;
Hawxwell, Tom;
Held, Hermann;
Hoffmann, Peter;
Huang-Lachmann, Jo-Ting;
Huch, Charlotte;
Jantke, Kerstin;
Jarke-Neuert, Johannes;
Johnson, Matthew;
Kleinen, Thomas;
Kleinen-von Königslöw, Katharina;
Knoblauch, Christian;
Köhl, Michael;
Kutzbach, Lars;
Langendijk, Gaby S.;
Li, Chao;
López-Rivera, Andrés;
Marotzke, Jochem;
Mosuela, Cleovi;
Müller, Franziska;
Neuburger, Martina;
Neumann, Manuel;
Notz, Dirk;
Pagnone, Anna;
Pavenstädt, Christopher;
Pein, Johannes;
Perino, Grischa;
Reveco Umaña, Cristóbal;
Rödder, Simone;
Rothe, Delf;
Rötzel, Theresa;
Scheffran, Jürgen;
Schenuit, Felix;
Schneider, Uwe;
Schröder, Ursula;
Schrum, Corinna;
Seiffert, Rita;
Sillmann, Jana;
Soans, Erika;
Struve, Svenja;
Vogler, Anselm;
Wickel, Martin;
Wiener, Antje;
Wilkens, Jan;
Zengerling, Cathrin
Series
In the annual Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook, CLICCS researchers make the first systematic attempt to assess which climate futures are plausible, by combining multidisciplinary assessments of plausibility.
Current Issue
The purpose of this second Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook is to systematically analyze and assess the plausibility of certain well-defined climate futures based on present knowledge of social drivers and physical processes. In particular, we assess the plausibility of those climate futures that are envisioned by the 2015 Paris Agreement, namely holding global warming to well below 2°C and, if possible, to 1.5°C, relative to pre-industrial levels (UNFCCC 2015, Article 2 paragraph 1a). The world will have to reach a state of deep decarbonization by 2050 to be compliant with the 1.5°C goal. We therefore work with a climate future scenario that combines emissions and temperature goals.
Websites
www.cliccs.uni-hamburg.de/results/hamburg-climate-futures-outlook.html
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cliccs-hamburg-climate-futures-outlook-2023.pdf
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- Publication date:
- February 1, 2023
- DOI:
-
- Keyword(s):
- CLICCS, Climate Research, Climate Plausibility, Climate Futures, Social driver of decarbonization, Climate tipping points, 1.5°C warming, Decarbonization, Paris Agreement temperature goals, societal transformation for climate change, Sustainable climate adaptation, HCFO, Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook, DFG Project number 390683824,
- Related identifiers:
- Cited by:
https://www.cliccs.uni-hamburg.de - Source of:
https://www.cliccs.uni-hamburg.de/results/hamburg-climate-futures-outlook.html - Communities:
- License (for files):
- Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International