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Thursday, October 22 | By Jared Gans

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In today's issue:

▪ Dems' election night upsets

▪ Trump's mixed affordability bag

▪ GOP proposes alternative health care plan

▪ Australia youth social media ban takes effect

© The Associated Press | Alex Brandon

Trump raises pressure on Zelensky to accept deal

The prospects of an imminent peace agreement to end the fighting between Russia and Ukraine seem dim as tensions rise between President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Trump administration officials had in recent weeks expressed optimism about the two sides reaching a ceasefire after nearly four years of war, with Trump’s 28-point peace plan as a framework. While that plan received criticism over accusations that it was much more favorable to Russian interests than safeguarding Ukraine, officials described it as a starting point and suggested changes were being negotiated.

But Trump has made multiple jabs at Zelensky in the past few days, expressing frustration with his Ukrainian counterpart and raising pressure on him to accept a deal.

“He’s going to have to get on the ball and start accepting things,” Trump told Politico’s Dasha Burns about Zelensky in an interview Monday, adding that “he’s losing” the war.

That came after Trump claimed on Sunday that Zelensky hadn’t yet read the latest version of his peace proposal. He claimed the Ukrainian people support the plan, but said he’s not sure their leader does.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has also indicated that some parts of the U.S. plan are unacceptable.

The key sticking point in negotiations has been whether Ukraine will be required to cede territory to Russia in exchange for an end to hostilities. The war has essentially been a stalemate for months, with neither side gaining much territory recently.

Russia currently occupies all of Crimea, which it took over in 2014, and most of the Donbas region, made up of Donetsk and Luhansk. The original U.S. proposal called on Ukraine to give up the Donbas, including the areas that it currently controls.

Zelensky said he had a “long and substantive” call with Trump envoy Steve Witkoff and the president’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, on Saturday to advance peace talks. But on Monday he reiterated his position to reporters that Ukraine will not give up any territory despite pressure from Russia and the U.S., The Washington Post reported.

“Under our laws, under international law — and under moral law — we have no right to give anything away,” Zelensky said. “That is what we are fighting for.”

The Trump advisers reportedly pushed Zelensky to accept a deal this month.

"It felt like the U.S. was trying to sell us in different ways the Russian desire to take the whole of Donbas and that the Americans wanted Zelensky to accept all of it in the phone call," a Ukrainian official told Axios.

Zelensky met with leaders from the UK, France and Germany in London on Monday, later touting support from the European leaders in posts on social media. 

"We are interested in genuine peace and are constantly in contact with America," the Ukrainian leader posted Tuesday, saying Kyiv would send documents back to the U.S. "in the near future."

Zelensky is also dealing with internal pressure in Ukraine amid a corruption scandal in his government.

The president hasn’t personally been accused of any wrongdoing, but his chief of staff resigned after an anti-corruption raid at his home last month.

Russia has taken the opportunity to try to make advances on the battlefield and force Ukraine to give up territory.

Trump and Zelensky's rollercoaster relationship has been defined by various public feuds sometimes followed by efforts to mend relations.

The commander in chief memorably went off on Zelensky in the Oval Office in February, calling him “disrespectful” and accusing him of not being in a strong position to negotiate.

Even after they eased tensions later, Trump has consistently expressed frustration at not being able to bring the war to an end as he’s branded himself the “peace president.”

He took a new step in the Politico interview in calling for Ukraine to hold elections despite the war. Zelensky was first elected in 2019 and had been due to be up for reelection last year, but the contest has been indefinitely postponed as Russia controls Ukrainian territory and civilians.

Zelensky has said he won’t run for reelection after the war ends. He said Tuesday he’s prepared to hold a wartime election if Ukraine’s Parliament and foreign allies allow it, but he added this is a “question for the people of Ukraine,” not other countries.

The breakdown with Trump has also nudged Zelensky closer to Ukraine’s European allies. Zelensky declared his opposition to giving up land after meeting with the European leaders early this week and working to rally their support.

▪ The Hill: Trump slams European leaders as ‘weak.’

▪ NPR: Ukraine’s last eastern strongholds hang on.

Smart Take 
with Blake Burman

House Oversight and Government Reform Chair James Comer’s (R-Ky.) committee has a long history of looking into Washington's most high-profile cases. Comer is now looking into another story that’s grabbing headlines: fraud in Minnesota social programs. A NewsNation exclusive report also looks at allegations of Medicaid fraud in Maine.

I spoke with Comer on Tuesday night, and he suggested similar cases could be revealed across the country. “I would go out on a limb and say that — I would say this is happening in other states with other social programs, with other groups,” Comer said.

Comer has already requested information from Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) and Minnesota’s attorney general. It would not be a surprise to see the Oversight Committee potentially expand its investigation beyond that state, as Comer is encouraging whistleblowers to come forward.

 

Burman hosts "The Hill" weeknights, 6p/5c on NewsNation.

3 Things to Know Today

 
  1. The Federal Reserve appears likely to cut interest rates today in its final decision of the year. It comes as Trump is expected to chart a new path for the Fed with a pick to replace chair Jerome Powell next year.
  2. The Food and Drug Administration is investigating whether COVID-19 vaccines have been linked to adult deaths as part of its probe into whether vaccines have been tied to children’s deaths. Studies have generally shown the vaccine to be safe.
  3. The State Department is calling on Cambodia and Thailand to cease fire after hostilities resumed between the two South Asian countries. The fighting threatens a truce that Trump helped negotiate earlier this year.

LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press | Alex Brandon

TRUMP AFFORDABILITY SPEECH: Trump defended his efforts to lower the cost of living and improve the economy during a sprawling speech in Mount Pocono, Pa., on Tuesday evening.

The Hill’s Brett Samuels reports Trump tried to simultaneously argue he’s working to lower costs while rejecting the idea that the economy and affordability were political vulnerabilities for him.

His address comes as polls increasingly show more Americans dissatisfied with his handling of the economy and inflation.

On one occasion, the president brought up individuals who are benefiting from his One Big Beautiful Bill Act, his signature second-term legislative accomplishment so far. One was a firefighter whose overtime pay won’t be taxed, while another was a mother who works as a waitress whose tips won’t be taxed.

But Trump at other times slammed attacks on his administration about affordability as a Democratic “hoax.”

“You know, they always have a hoax. Their new word is affordability. So they look at the camera and they say, ‘This election is all about affordability,’” he said.

Recent polling has shown a majority of voters believe Trump isn’t effectively handling inflation and is more to blame for their poor economic outlook than former President Biden, a common foil for Trump.

The president’s remarks Tuesday night also frequently resembled a campaign speech as he jumped around topics and denounced his political opponents in harsh terms.

He went after Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) and Somali immigrants in particular, emphasizing his efforts to stop the flow of migrants from "hellholes” like Somalia, Haiti and Afghanistan.

Trump has focused criticism on Somali migrants in recent days amid reports that members of that community were tied to a fraud scandal in Minnesota.

“If you don’t share our values, contribute to our economy, and assimilate into our society, then we don’t want you in our country,” Trump said.

▪ The Hill: Trump battles vibe shift in MAGA movement.

DEMS POWER TO ELECTION NIGHT WINS: Democrats notched a few extra wins in elections Tuesday night to cap off a year of widespread success.

The party flipped the Miami mayor's office for the first time in three decades as Democrat Eileen Higgins defeated Republican Emilio Gonzalez, a former Miami city manager who served on Trump’s Homeland Security Department transition team, in a technically nonpartisan race.

Higgins will be Miami’s first female mayor and succeed term-limited incumbent Mayor Francis Suarez (R).

The city of Miami narrowly voted for former Vice President Kamala Harris last year, but Miami-Dade County flipped red for Trump, who made gains with its predominantly Latino and Hispanic demographic. Recent polling has shown Latinos viewing Trump more poorly.

Democrats also won a surprise victory in a Georgia state House district that voted for Trump last year by 12 points. Eric Gisler (D) defeated Republican Mark Guest IV, leading by almost 2 points as of the latest vote count.

Despite being underdogs, Democrats had hoped they could score an upset as many of their candidates have outperformed Harris's margins by double digits in elections this year.

The Georgia win came just a month after Democrats flipped two seats on the Georgia Public Service Commission, their first non-federal statewide wins in the Peach State since 2006.

▪ The Albuquerque Journal: Democratic incumbent wins reelection as mayor.

NEW THIS A.M.: House Democrats' campaign arm is adding five additional seats to its list of targets for next year's midterms as it feels more bullish about winning back the House, The Hill's Caroline Vakil reports.

The districts being added are California’s 48th Congressional District, Florida’s 15th District, North Carolina’s 3rd District and 11th District and Texas’ 35th District, bringing the total number of targets to 40.

The additions also come a week after a special election for a vacant House seat in Tennessee. Although Trump carried the district last year by 22 points, the Republican candidate only won by 9 points.

HEGSETH RESTRICTED: A provision tucked into the annual defense policy bill is seeking to add pressure on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to release the unedited video of the controversial strikes on an alleged drug boat from early September.

The section included in the final version of the National Defense Authorization Act, set to receive a vote in the House, blocks a portion of Hegseth’s travel budget until he turns over the footage and copies of the orders behind the operations, The Hill’s Sudiksha Kochi and Filip Timotija report.

A House panel approved the bipartisan bill in a 9-3 vote Tuesday night, sending it to the floor for full consideration today.

It comes as Hegseth faces continued scrutiny over the Pentagon’s decision-making in the strikes that destroyed the boat on Sept. 2 and then killed two survivors who were clinging to the wreckage.

The attention on Hegseth has subsided somewhat after Navy Adm. Frank Bradley, who ordered the subsequent strike, told lawmakers during a briefing last week that Hegseth didn’t give an order to “kill everybody” aboard the boat, denying reporting from The Washington Post.

But Democrats and some Republicans have responded to the strikes with indignation and demanded Hegseth provide more information about what happened.

▪ The Hill: Dems frustrated after Hegseth briefing.

▪ NBC News: Advocates sue administration for memo justifying boat strikes.

GOP ALTERNATIVE: The Senate will vote Thursday on a Republican alternative to Democrats’ health care proposal to extend Affordable Care Act subsidies before the end of the year.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) announced Tuesday the vote will take place the same day the chamber will vote on a Democratic measure from Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to extend the subsidies by three years.

The GOP proposal would replace the enhanced subsidies with health savings accounts that would receive federal contributions to pay out-of-pocket expenses.

Thune hadn’t originally planned a vote on a Republican alternative, but the vote will give his GOP colleagues, including those potentially vulnerable in next year’s midterms, the opportunity to vote on another measure alongside the one from Democrats, The Hill’s Alexander Bolton reports.

Republicans have been divided between moderates who are interested in voting to extend Affordable Care Act tax credits in some form to avoid premiums spiking for millions of Americans and staunch conservatives who are opposed to any measure that could help what they view as failed health care policy.

▪ The Hill: Warning signs emerge for MAGA on ObamaCare.

▪ The Hill: Subsidies extension bill faces high hurdle, tight deadline.

MAXWELL FILES: A federal judge has granted a request from the Department of Justice (DOJ) to publicly release files from the sex-trafficking case against Ghislaine Maxwell, the longtime associate of the convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

U.S. District Judge Paul Engelmayer made his ruling in light of the passage of the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which Trump signed last month to direct the DOJ to release unclassified Epstein-related records in a format that is searchable by Dec. 19.

Engelmayer found the act “unambiguously” applies to the case. But he criticized the DOJ, accusing officials of misleading the public about what information the materials contain. He previously had denied the DOJ’s request to release the files, saying most of the material had long been a matter of public record.

Maxwell is serving a 20-year prison sentence for conspiring with Epstein in sex trafficking and abuse of underage girls.

The deadline for the DOJ to release the Epstein files is quickly approaching, but some critics have expressed concern that Attorney General Pam Bondi may look for loopholes to avoid full disclosure.

 

WHEN & WHERE

  • The president participates in a roundtable at the White House at 2 p.m. and meets with pastors in the Oval Office at 5 p.m.
  • The House and Senate will convene at 10 a.m.
 

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ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press | Evan Agostini

THE PARAMOUNT RELATIONSHIP: The close ties between the president and Paramount may prove key in which company ultimately acquires Warner Bros. Discovery.

Paramount is battling with Netflix for control of Warner Bros., though whoever wins that battle will need final approval from the Trump administration.

Netflix announced Friday that it would acquire Warner Bros. in a $72 billion deal, but Paramount launched a hostile takeover attempt on Monday with a larger offer.

Trump expressed some doubt about Netflix’s bid, noting it could pose an issue under antitrust rules with such a large share of the market potentially consolidated in one company.

Experts view Trump’s close relations with Paramount and its CEO, David Ellison, as a wildcard that could improve the company’s chances of ultimately winning the battle, The Hill’s Dominick Mastrangelo reports.

Ellison's father, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, a top Trump ally, spoke with Trump after the Netflix deal was announced, telling him it would be bad for the media industry, The Wall Street Journal reported.

One key difference between Netflix’s proposal and a potential Paramount acquisition is the status of CNN, which isn’t included in the former.

Ellison reportedly promised Paramount would implement significant editorial changes at CNN, which has often been a target of Trump’s frustration.

One other X factor is the role of Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law whose firm is backing Paramount’s attempt.

Trump demurred earlier this week when asked about Paramount, saying he doesn’t know enough.

▪ The Economist: Netflix, Paramount battle for more than just Warner Bros.

▪ Fortune: Netflix CEO confident in closing deal.

ABORTION REVIEW: The White House is defending Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Martin Makary following a report that he is delaying a safety review of the abortion drug mifepristone until after the midterms.

Anti-abortion groups called for Makary's ouster over the report from Bloomberg, but the administration dismissed those calls and pushed back on the claim that he's slow-walking the review.

“FDA Commissioner Marty Makary is working diligently to ensure that Americans have the best possible, Gold Standard Science study of mifepristone,” White House spokesperson Kush Desai said in a statement to The Hill.

ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press | Rick Rycroft

SOCIAL MEDIA BAN: The world’s first social media ban for children younger than 16 took effect in Australia on Wednesday, testing the policy as questions intensify over the impact of social media on youth.

The law, passed last year, prohibits them from using social media platforms like Facebook, X, Instagram, Snapchat and TikTok but places the onus of enforcement on the companies. They could face fines of up to 49.5 million Australian dollars, equal to about $32.9 million, if they don’t take reasonable steps to enforce the policy.

The legislation passed with the support of Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese of the Australian Labor Party as well as most of the opposition Liberal Party. Supporters argue it’s necessary to safeguard against the hazards of social media and to protect children’s mental health.

But opponents argue it’s too drastic a step and ignores the positive impacts of social media, like social connection.

▪ The Hill: Rahm Emmanuel calls for the U.S. to follow Australia's lead.

▪ The New York Times: How Australia’s social media ban will work.

▪ The Washington Post: Most Australian teens don’t plan to follow ban.

OPINION

  • Congress needs to fix its reconciliation process, Robert Verbruggen writes in The Hill.
  • Europe, too, is worth fighting for, Bret Stephens writes in The New York Times.

THE CLOSER

© The Associated Press | Andre Penner

And finally … California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) revealed his 9-year-old son tried to call Trump using his father’s phone after the president had said the governor could call anytime.

Newsom said in an interview with progressive YouTuber Jack Cocchiarella that his son nearly gave Trump a call, asking if he had the president’s number.

“I’m like, ‘Oh God.’ And I literally find — he’s 9 years old — and he was literally pushing the buttons to call the president,” Newsom said. “I’m like, ‘Oh God.’”

Newsom has emerged as a top antagonist to Trump and a potential 2028 presidential contender. He's had a steady stream of donors encouraging him to run and received donations from more than 100,000 contributors who hadn’t previously donated, sources told The Hill’s Amie Parnes.

 

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