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Monday, October 19 | By Jared Gans

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In today's issue:

▪ Former Prince Andrew arrested in UK

▪ Talarico gets boost after Colbert interview

▪ US braces for possible strikes on Iran

▪ First Board of Peace meeting in DC

© The Associated Press | Bob Daemmrich

CBS drama throws curveball in Talarico-Crockett race

The political spotlight recently cast on Texas state Rep. James Talarico is shaking up his Democratic primary contest against Rep. Jasmine Crockett for the state’s coveted Senate seat.

The controversy surrounding Talarico’s interview with “Late Show” host Stephen Colbert burst into national attention right as early voting opened Tuesday in Texas’s primary elections, which are scheduled for the first week of March. And both Democratic candidates are indicating the fallout could play a critical role in what polling has shown is a close race between the two.

Talarico’s Senate campaign announced Wednesday that he raised $2.5 million in the 24 hours following his interview with Colbert, while the clip of his interview has gained millions of views online — a late burst of enthusiasm with two weeks left in the race.

Polling has painted a mixed picture of who is leading in the primary.

An Emerson College poll from last month showed Talarico leading Crockett by 9 points, while a University of Houston poll had Crockett ahead by 8 points. Another survey showed the contest neck and neck.

But Talarico is hoping that he’s peaking at the right time as voters head to the polls.

In another sign of his rising profile, Google Trends data, which grades interest on a 100-point scale, found interest in Talarico jumped from about 2 points in the past week to 100 points Tuesday evening, The Hill’s Julia Mueller reports. Crockett’s interest hit a weeklong high at about 20 points.

Texas Democratic strategist Luke Warford compared the attention Talarico is receiving to when he appeared on Joe Rogan’s podcast, but the strategist added that this is having an outsized impact given its timing.

“What this episode shows is the two things that matter most in 2026 politics: getting attention online and converting it into money and on-the-ground momentum,” Warford told Morning Report. “This was a gift, and to his credit, Talarico broke through the echo chamber and reached people who don't live on political Twitter.”

Even Crockett acknowledged the attention has likely helped Talarico, whose sit-down with Colbert was streamed on YouTube because the host said network lawyers warned airing it could violate the "equal time" rule.

Crockett compared it to the attention that the “60 Minutes” segment on the Salvadoran prison CECOT received after it was initially pulled from airing.

“We found out that you could get a lot more views,” Crockett said during an interview with MS NOW. “So, I think it probably gave my opponent the boost he was looking for.”

But Crockett also cast doubt on the idea that Talarico’s interview wasn’t allowed to be aired on television as a result of government interference, telling reporters Tuesday she believes Colbert or CBS decided not to air it because of fear of the Federal Communications Commission (FCC).

Crockett made clear she doesn’t “have any love” for the current FCC but believes “there are additional layers at play.”

FCC Chair Brendan Carr brushed off the controversy, accusing Talarico of taking advantage of “all of your prior conceptions to run a hoax apparently for the purpose of raising money and getting clicks.”

“And apparently the news media played right into it,” Carr said.

▪ The Hill: FCC chair: Colbert sees the ‘limelight is fading.’

▪ The Hill: What is ‘equal time’ rule at center of Colbert, CBS fight?

Democratic strategists told Mueller any little movement could make a difference in the primary, and eventually the general election.

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) is trying to fend off a primary challenge from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-Texas). But polls have shown Paxton slightly ahead, throwing Cornyn’s chances into doubt.

Given various controversies around Paxton, Democrats believe that could give them an opportunity to pull off an upset. But they differ on which Democratic candidate would be best positioned to deliver a win.

Crockett has taken a more fiery approach to opposing the Trump administration with viral exchanges in the House, while Talarico has been more conciliatory in reaching across the aisle.

Critics of Crockett have argued nominating her would risk alienating key voters in a right-leaning state.

“Conventional wisdom is that Talarico matches up better [than Crockett] against Paxton,” Matt Angle, the founder of the pro-Democrat Lone Star Project, told The Hill. “[Paxton is] their polarized, rising candidate, and rather than matching him with another candidate that some people think are polarizing, then we’d go with somebody that you could build a coalition around. But again, that may not be the case. It’s a close race.”

Crockett has pushed back on concerns about her electability, noting a comparison to former Texas Gov. Ann Richards (D), who faced similar questions.

Crockett did receive a boost of her own Wednesday, as Sen. Angela Alsobrooks (D-Md.) endorsed her candidacy, becoming the first senator to do so. And she has raised plenty of her own money ahead of the primary.

The question will be which rising star within the Democratic Party can get over the finish line in what has been a tough race.

▪ The Hill: Cornyn warns of ‘massacre’ if Paxton wins primary.

▪ Texas Tribune: Rick Perry says group will spend what’s needed to support Cornyn.

Smart Take 
with Blake Burman

In this space yesterday we asked for your questions to lawmakers as we launched a new segment called Viewer’s Voice. One that came in was straightforward: When will you fix Social Security for good?  

Rep. Rich McCormick (R-Ga.) was our first lawmaker to answer questions, and he gave a straightforward assessment. “Nobody wants to touch it, because they think it’s a third rail, that whoever wants to reform Social Security will be voted out of office. I think it’s a coward’s way out,” McCormick said. “You should put in a grandfather clause. Anybody who’s within 10 years doesn’t get touched. Everybody else gets adjusted with reasonable concessions,” he added.

McCormick also said changes are almost certain to come in the next presidency. That’s a long ways off, but it’s also part of the dynamic.

Trump will tout the economy as part of his trip today in Georgia, but the next president is likely to face the upcoming cliff, as Social Security benefits will need to be addressed in the early 2030s before they start to face a funding shortage.

 

Burman hosts "The Hill" weeknights, 6p/5c on NewsNation.

3 Things to Know Today

 
  1. Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, the former prince, has been arrested in the U.K. on suspicion of misconduct in public office. He has been under intense scrutiny over his ties to disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein.
  2. The Republican National Committee filed a lawsuit seeking to block the referendum scheduled for April in Virginia to determine whether voters will approve a constitutional amendment permitting the state Legislature to draw a new congressional map for the midterm elections.
  3. More than a dozen Democrats are planning to skip President Trump's State of the Union address next week to instead participate in counter-rallies and other protests.

LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press, pool | Fazry Ismail

MILITARY BUILDUP: The U.S. is moving military assets into the Middle East in anticipation of a military strike against Iran that could come as soon as this weekend, multiple outlets reported.

The president reportedly hasn't decided to go forward with attacking Iran, but the buildup comes despite a second round of talks on limiting Iran's nuclear program that took place earlier this week.

The buildup of air power in the region is the most by the U.S. since the invasion of Iraq in 2003, The Wall Street Journal reported.

U.S. and Iranian officials described the most recent talks on Tuesday as positive and productive, but a deal is still not yet in reach. The New York Times reported Iran is seeking two weeks to return to the negotiating table with a fleshed-out proposal for a diplomatic solution.

Trump has said he wants to reach an agreement to restrict Iran's nuclear program but repeatedly threatened to take military action if no deal comes through.

The administration announced last week that the USS Gerald R. Ford and its accompanying ships were on their way to the Mediterranean Sea to join the USS Abraham Lincoln and its related ships in the Persian Gulf. 

NBC News reports other air defenses and a submarine are also being positioned, with an official telling the outlet that all U.S. military forces required for possible action are set to be in place by mid-March.

Meanwhile, Israeli forces have been making more of their own preparations for battle, as Israel's security cabinet moved up a meeting to Sunday, the Times reported.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said Wednesday that Trump still hopes to make a deal, while noting the strikes he ordered against Iran in June.

"The president has always been very clear though with respect to Iran or any country around the world, diplomacy is always his first option and Iran would be very wise to make a deal," she said.

▪ The Hill: U.S. preparing for pullout of all troops from Syria.

FIRST BOARD MEETING: The Trump-led Board of Peace is holding its first meeting today, with high stakes for the president’s push to secure a lasting peace in Gaza.

More than 20 countries have signed on to participate in the board, which has been set up to oversee Gaza after Hamas gives up power. The president has apparently already notched a key achievement, as he said Sunday that the member countries have pledged a total of $5 billion so far to the reconstruction of Gaza.

The pledge will be formally announced at the event at the U.S. Institute of Peace, which has been renamed after Trump, in Washington, D.C., on Thursday.

But key hurdles remain as the U.S. looks to advance Israel and Hamas toward the second phase of their ceasefire, which has mostly held since it went into effect in October.

Hamas, the militant group that has ruled the Gaza Strip since 2006, has given mixed messages about whether they will step aside and disarm as outlined in the deal. That must happen before a technocratic board made up of Palestinians, overseen by the Board of Peace, can take over the area.

Many major countries, including most of Europe, have also refused to join the board over the language of the charter establishing it. While the board was originally theorized to only concern the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, various world leaders have argued the charter sets up the board as a rival to the United Nations.

Some leaders also said the language of the charter conflicts with their own countries’ constitutions.

Vatican City became the latest country to announce it was declining its invitation Wednesday. Vatican Secretary of State Cardinal Pietro Parolin told reporters there are “points that leave us somewhat perplexed” and that would need explanations.

“The important thing is that an attempt is being made to provide a response,” he said. “However, for us there are certain critical issues that should be resolved. One concern is that at the international level it should above all be the [United Nations] that manages these crisis situations. This is one of the points on which we have insisted.”

The White House press secretary called the Vatican’s announcement “deeply unfortunate.”

“I don't think that peace should be partisan or political or controversial,” Leavitt said.

A senior administration official told The Hill they wouldn’t get into the details of “diplomatic conversations,” but the Vatican remains welcome to join.

▪ Los Angeles Times: U.N. Security Council holding meeting on Gaza.

▪ The Times of Israel: U.S. approves channel between Palestinian Authority, board.

DHS STANDOFF: Leavitt denounced Democrats’ latest offer to fund the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) as “very unserious.”

Details of the offers from Democrats and the White House have been sparse, but the two sides don’t appear close to a deal to reopen DHS nearly a week after it ran out of funding.

Many people in the department are still working as essential employees, but the impacts on the public could rise over the coming days through effects on DHS agencies including the Transportation Security Administration and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).

Democrats have similarly rejected offers from the administration as unserious.

▪ The Hill: DHS shutdown talks hit wall.

▪ The Washington Post: Officials limiting FEMA travel amid funding gap.

REDISTRICTING PRESSURE: Democrats are stepping up their pressure for states to redraw their congressional lines in response to GOP redistricting efforts, seeking to make as many gains as possible.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) met with Maryland Gov. Wes Moore (D), Maryland Senate President Bill Ferguson (D) and other state legislative leaders to advocate for the Old Line State to redraw its congressional map ahead of the midterms.

Ferguson has expressed opposition to the idea of enacting a map that would likely allow Democrats to win all eight of the state’s House seats, as opposed to the current 7-1 configuration. He has shared concerns that enacting the map could jeopardize the current one in a challenge before the state Supreme Court, which has a Republican-appointed majority.

“Bill Ferguson authentically believes that the votes don’t exist in the State Senate to move forward,” Jeffries said after the meeting. “The only way to find out is to allow an immediate up-or-down vote on the Senate floor with respect to the new congressional map passed by the House of Delegates.”

But at least so far, Ferguson hasn’t indicated he will change his position.

A Democratic-aligned group is also looking at redistricting beyond the midterms in Colorado.

Coloradans for a Level Playing Field has filed four different versions of a ballot initiative asking voters to temporarily pass a new House map for the 2028 and 2030 elections, going around the state’s independent redistricting commission. The opportunity to enact it in 2026 will have passed, but a new map could net Democrats as many as three new seats, playing a key role in the House battle in 2028.

▪ The Associated Press: Many Dems still dissatisfied with their party.

NEW HEAD: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is set to have a new leader with Jay Bhattacharya, the director of the National Institutes of Health, helming the agency for now.

Bhattacharya will take over for Jim O’Neill, who has served as the CDC’s acting director and deputy Health and Human Services (HHS) secretary for months. O’Neill is leaving his position as part of a broader reshuffling within HHS.

Trump is expected to nominate O’Neill to lead the National Science Foundation, according to The New York Times.

The swap is the latest leadership shake-up at the CDC. Former CDC Director Susan Monarez was fired from the role in August after less than a month on the job.

Her ouster came amid opposition she expressed to HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s policies on vaccines.

Bhattacharya will serve in an acting capacity as O’Neill did. Bhattacharya broke with Kennedy during a Senate hearing earlier this month when he said he hasn’t seen any studies linking vaccines to autism, disputing a theory advanced by the secretary.

▪ The Hill: Campus vaccine strategies tested by rise in measles.

REVERSAL: The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has overturned its decision to not review Moderna’s mRNA flu vaccine following a meeting with the company.

The FDA initially refused to consider Moderna’s application last week for what it claimed was “substandard” care during its trials. HHS spokesperson Andrew Nixon said Moderna didn’t follow “very clear FDA guidance from 2024 to test its product in a clinical trial against a CDC recommended flu vaccine to compare safety and efficacy.”

Moderna said the FDA didn’t raise any specific safety or efficacy concerns.

But the company announced Wednesday that the FDA reversed course and accepted its application for review after the meeting. It said it proposed a revised regulatory approach that the agency accepted.

HHS has viewed mRNA vaccines with intense skepticism under Kennedy, canceling millions of dollars in federal funding for them last year. Senior administration officials said last week that Kennedy wasn’t involved in the FDA refusing to review Moderna’s application.

▪ The Hill: Health, green groups sue over climate change finding.

▪ The Hill: California challenging federal childhood vaccine recommendation changes.

 

WHEN & WHERE

  • The president will participate in the Board of Peace event at 9 a.m. He will then depart Washington, D.C., to travel to Rome, Ga., where he will visit a local business at 1:50 p.m. and participate in a podcast interview at 2:30 p.m. He will then tour a local factory at 3:30 p.m. and deliver remarks on the economy at 4 p.m.
  • The Senate will meet at 2 p.m. for a pro forma
  • The House is out today.
 

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ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press | Jon Elswick

EPSTEIN REDACTIONS PUSHBACK: Lawmakers are signaling they’re not willing to accept the Department of Justice’s (DOJ) explanations for the redactions in the Jeffrey Epstein files, continuing to push for greater transparency.

The DOJ sent a letter to top lawmakers on the House and Senate Judiciary committees last weekend explaining its decisionmaking behind the parts of the Epstein files that have remained redacted. The Epstein Files Transparency Act, which mandated the release of most of the DOJ’s files on Epstein, required written explanations for what was kept private.

But advocates for the files’ release have accused the department of keeping covered much more than is permitted by law.

The DOJ letter also included a list of “all government officials and politically exposed persons” named in the files for any reason. It included many high-profile names, including Trump’s, appearing in a “wide variety of contexts.”

But the names run a wide gamut from Janis Joplin to Julian Assange to Dick Cheney, leading to an outcry among lawmakers accusing the DOJ of failing to comply with the final obligation of the law, The Hill’s Rebecca Beitsch and Mike Lillis report.

▪ The Hill: Les Wexner denies knowledge of Epstein crimes in deposition.

▪ The Hill: U.N. experts say files’ allegations may amount to crimes against humanity.

ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press | Ted Shaffrey

TUNNEL FUNDS RELEASED: The Trump administration has released nearly $130 million in funding that had been frozen for the Gateway Tunnel project after months of legal battle.

New York Attorney General Letitia James (D) announced the development Wednesday, about a week after a judge’s order took effect requiring the funds to be restored. The project is set to build new tracks under the Hudson River connecting New Jersey to Penn Station in New York City.

The administration cut off federal funds for the project last fall, with Trump voicing opposition to it. He called the project a “future boondoggle” in a Truth Social post Monday.

The freeze ultimately became an issue in the New Jersey gubernatorial race last year, with New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill (D) using the decision to tie her Republican opponent to Trump and unpopular decisions.

Democrats in New York and New Jersey celebrated the development, touting expected positive economic outgrowths from the project.

Still, the legal battle is only in its early stages. The 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals declined to immediately intervene but could do so in the coming weeks.

▪ The Hill: Administration sued over oil, gas push in Alaska reserve.

▪ The Hill: California wealth tax proposal splits Democrats.

CALIFORNIA AVALANCHE: At least eight people have been found dead near Lake Tahoe in California in the deadliest avalanche in the U.S. in nearly half a century.

Six people were rescued hours after the avalanche occurred Wednesday, while officials are still searching for one more skier. The six had been reaching the end of a three-day journey in the Sierra Nevada during a major winter storm.

The Sierra Avalanche Center had issued an avalanche watch that advanced to a warning, but whether guides leading the tour would have been aware of the upgrade before leaving is unclear.

LIFE SENTENCE: Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has been sentenced to life in prison over his brief imposition of martial law in 2024 that ultimately resulted in his removal from office.

Yoon was found guilty of rebellion for having mobilized the military and police to seize the opposition-led National Assembly. He had been suspended from office soon after the incident in December 2024 and formally removed from office last April.

One of Yoon's lawyers rejected the verdict and said he would discuss with his client whether to appeal.

OPINION

  • Rubio showed in Munich how respect, not confrontation, builds alliances, Denise Gitsham writes in The Hill.
  • The Donroe Doctrine’s year of failure, former Ambassador Rahm Emanuel writes in The Wall Street Journal.

THE CLOSER

© The Associated Press | Kevin Wolf

And finally … It’s Thursday, which means it’s time for the weekly news quiz!

It’s been a busy week, so this quiz will check to see if you were paying attention to some of the top news items!

Be sure to email your responses to jgans@thehill.com — please add “Quiz” to your subject line. Winners who submit correct answers will receive deserved newsletter fame on Friday.

Where did U.S. officials travel to this week for conversations on Iran’s nuclear program and the Russia-Ukraine war?

1. Saudi Arabia

2. Oman

3. Switzerland

4. Germany

Which world leader did Marco Rubio endorse for reelection while on a trip abroad?

1. Friedrich Merz

2. Viktor Orbán

3. Benjamin Netanyahu

4. Robert Fico

The Texas Senate race has been in the news with the controversy surrounding Stephen Colbert’s interview with James Talarico. Which other show came under similar scrutiny after an interview with Talarico?

1. “CBS Evening News”

2. “60 Minutes”

3. “Jimmy Kimmel Live”

4. “The View”

Which former president clarified comments he made about aliens existing to make clear he hasn’t seen evidence that they do?

1. Bill Clinton

2. George W. Bush

3. Barack Obama

4. Joe Biden

 

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