Plus: Israel says it killed Iran's top security official

 MORNING REPORT

 MORNING REPORT

 

Thursday, October 22 | By Jared Gans

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In today's issue:

▪ Democrats go to the polls in Illinois

▪ Israel says it killed top Iranian security official

▪ Trump struggles to get help on Strait of Hormuz

▪ Federal Reserve in difficult spot

© The Associated Press | Nam Y. Huh

Divides on display in Illinois Democratic primaries

The battles between competing wings of the Democratic Party will take center stage in the Illinois primaries Tuesday, featuring high-profile contests involving big-name figures in the state.

The primaries aren’t directly tied to Democrats’ hopes of winning back control of Congress in November. The key races are largely for solidly Democratic seats, making almost certain that the winner of the primary will win the general election.

But they underscore the self-reflection that party members are undergoing as they look to claw back power in the aftermath of President Trump’s return to office.

The marquee race is for the seat of retiring Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.), the current Senate Democratic whip who has served in the upper chamber for nearly 30 years.

The three main Democratic contenders for the seat are Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly and Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton. Unlike other races taking place in the state, the primary has been less focused on ideological differences, as all three candidates are seen as solidly liberal.

Instead, the race has centered on who can best tout their progressive bona fides. Racial identity also seems to be playing a role.

If elected, Krishnamoorthi would be only the second Indian American to serve in the Senate, while Stratton or Kelly could help set a new record for the number of Black women serving in the chamber. Polling suggests Krishnamoorthi and Stratton are the two front-runners, but Kelly could still play a key role as a potential spoiler.

One late development in the race has been a super PAC supporting Krishnamoorthi launching ads to boost Kelly and attack Stratton. The lieutenant governor’s campaign responded by accusing Krishnamoorthi and his allies of trying to “dilute Black political power.”

Kelly’s campaign also denounced the ads, saying she’s “running her own race.”

One other factor has been millions of dollars that Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker (D) has spent to prop up Stratton. Observers will be looking to see how strong of an influence the governor has as he’s running for a third term and is seen as a potential 2028 presidential contender.

A few more intraparty battles are taking place in Illinois House districts.

Former Reps. Jesse Jackson Jr. (D-Ill.) and Melissa Bean (D-Ill.) are seeking political comebacks running for their old House seats, seeking to replace Kelly and Krishnamoorthi, respectively. Both are leaning on their experience to demonstrate they won’t need as much learning on the job if elected, while their rivals are pitching themselves as potential fresh blood in Congress.

Democrats have been eager to turn the page to a younger generation of leaders in the aftermath of former President Biden’s administration, leading to a push for many retirements of longtime party leaders this cycle. The opponents to Jackson and Bean told The Hill’s Caroline Vakil that they believe their districts want someone new.

This pair of primaries will also be a battle between the moderate and progressive factions, with multiple members of each wing contending.

Another key battle is taking place in Illinois’s 9th District in the race to succeed retiring longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky (D). Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, who has been endorsed by many local and national Democratic officials, appears to be the favorite going into primary day.

But he’s trying to fend off opposition from many other candidates, perhaps most notably progressive journalist and influencer Kat Abughazaleh. A 26-year-old, Abughazaleh would likely be the first Generation Z woman elected to Congress if she wins the primary.

She has garnered multiple viral moments in recent years, particularly for critiquing Fox News and Tucker Carlson, and is relying on strong youth turnout to pull off a win. But she will need to overcome some questions about a lack of roots in the community.

Abughazaleh moved to the district after launching her campaign for the seat. Both Biss and Abughazaleh are viewed as progressives, though Abughazaleh has gone after him for his progressive credentials, arguing she’s “the most unabashedly progressive candidate in the field.”

Illinois state Sen. Laura Fine (D) is also a top contender for the seat, though polling has shown her struggling to catch Biss despite millions spent to boost her from a group reportedly with ties to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee.

The role of the pro-Israel lobbying group has come under increased scrutiny in Democratic politics given the conflict in Gaza and recently over the role a super PAC aligned with the group played in a special election in New Jersey.

Following the Illinois primaries, there will be a break in midterm primaries for a few weeks. They will pick back up again in May, but next month will bring its own share of critical contests, with a state Supreme Court race in Wisconsin on April 7 and a special House election in the Garden State on April 16.

▪ The Hill: Five things to watch in Illinois’s primaries.

▪ The Hill: Jesse Jackson’s family clarifies no posthumous Senate endorsement.

Smart Take 
with Blake Burman

The first primary day of this election cycle has already proven to be consequential. State Rep. James Talarico defeated Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the Texas Democratic Senate primary, and Sen. John Cornyn (R) overperformed against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), as they now head to a runoff. The attention shifts tonight to Illinois, as there are Senate implications there as well, with a big focus on Democrats.

Krishnamoorthi and Kelly, along with Stratton, top a big field for Democrats. They're vying to replace the retiring Durbin. Krishnamoorthi holds a fundraising advantage, while Pritzker has endorsed Stratton.

Speaking of Congress, I want to hear from you. Tomorrow night, we continue our Viewer’s Voice series, as I take your questions directly to those in power. Rep. Bob Onder (R-Mo.) joins me on the show and will answer your questions. Have a question you want answered or an issue you think Congress isn't paying enough attention to? If so, ping our team here, and you could have it answered on air Wednesday evening.

 

Burman hosts "The Hill" weeknights, 6p/5c on NewsNation.

3 Things to Know Today

 
  1. Israel said it killed top Iranian security chief Ali Larijani in an overnight strike. Larijani has been one of the top remaining leaders in Tehran following the death of former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Meanwhile, Israel's military said it has begun "limited" ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
  2. U.S. intelligence believes Iran’s regime will remain in power for now, weakened but more hard-line, The Washington Post reported. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is expected to exert greater influence on the country.
  3. Top Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino plans to retire at the end of the month after he was removed from his position as commander at large overseeing immigration enforcement in Minnesota, multiple outlets reported. His retirement coincides with the planned departure of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem.

LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press | Altaf Qadri

FROSTY RECEPTION: Trump’s push for international allies to assist the U.S. in securing the Strait of Hormuz is getting a cool reception to start.

The president said Saturday that “many countries” will send war ships to patrol the passageway amid Iran’s moves to block the area. Tehran placed mines in the water and has vowed to attack any ships attempting to pass.

Trump later said Sunday that he was in talks with “about seven” countries on policing the strait, but at least one key ally has made clear since then that it won’t get involved.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius told reporters Monday that his country won’t send ships, saying “this is not our war.” German Chancellor Friedrich Merz later echoed that, saying it isn’t a matter for NATO and that Germany will not get militarily involved.

Trump reiterated his calls for support from other countries Monday, labeling Iran a “paper tiger.” But other longtime allies such as Australia and Japan appear skeptical of joining a coalition to secure the strait.

The apparent rebuffs stand in contrast with the agreement among the nearly three dozen members of the International Energy Agency last week to release 400 million barrels of oil stockpiles to address rising costs amid the conflict. But sending war ships would mark a significant escalation of other countries’ involvement in the war as many have made clear they don’t want to be pulled in.

Trump expressed optimism that France may take part in policing the strait after speaking with French President Emmanuel Macron. But he also said he expects the U.K. to be involved, despite Prime Minister Keir Starmer being among the most vocal opponents of the operations.

The president has also sought to persuade China to assist, but Beijing appears unenthusiastic about doing so. Trump later confirmed he requested his scheduled state visit to China, which was set for the end of March, be delayed by about a month.

“We’re working on that right now. We’re speaking to China. I’d love to, but because of the war, I want to be here,” Trump said.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt denied that Trump’s meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping was in jeopardy over Iran, saying it only would be delayed over logistics and timing.

▪ The Hill: 200 U.S. troops wounded since war began.

▪ BBC: Who wants what from the war.

MULTIPLE DENIALS: Trump claimed Monday he had a private conversation with a former president who told him they back his moves on Iran, but he wouldn't say who it was –– and multiple camps are denying it.

“He said, ‘I wish I did what you did,’” Trump told reporters at the White House. “I don’t want to get into ‘who,’ I don’t want to get him into trouble.”

Trump said it wasn't former President George W. Bush, the only living former GOP president, implying it was a Democrat.

But people close to former Presidents Clinton, Obama and Biden told The New York Times and CNN that they haven't spoken to Trump about Iran.

Trump said the former president “happens to like me, and I like that person, who is a smart person.”

CUBA THREAT: Trump said Monday that he expects he will have the "honor" of taking over Cuba, not ruling out military action.

“Whether I free it, take it, I think I can do anything I want with it,” he told reporters. “You want to know the truth, they’re a very weakened nation now.”

The president's comment comes as his administration has significantly ramped up pressure on the communist regime in recent months. It implemented a U.S. quarantine against fuel imports to Cuba in January, halting Venezuelan energy deliveries to the country.

The entire island lost electricity Monday in a countrywide blackout as it faces rising economic and energy crises.

Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed last week that his government is holding talks with the U.S. to address their differences and find areas to cooperate. Trump said Sunday that Cuba wants to make a deal. 

The blackout is the third major one hitting the island in the past four months, The Associated Press reported.

▪ NBC News: Cuba to allow nationals abroad to invest, own businesses on island.

CANCER DIAGNOSIS: White House chief of staff Susie Wiles has been diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer, the president announced on Truth Social on Monday.

“She has a fantastic medical team, and her prognosis is excellent! During the treatment period, she will be spending virtually full time at the White House, which makes me, as President, very happy!” Trump said, adding that she will be receiving treatment “immediately.”

Wiles said in a statement that she’s “deeply thankful” for Trump’s support.

“Nearly one in eight women in the United States will face this diagnosis. Every day, these women continue to raise their families, go to work, and serve their communities with strength and determination. I now join their ranks,” Wiles said. “I am grateful to have an outstanding team of doctors who detected the cancer early and are guiding my care, and I am encouraged by a strong prognosis.”

Wiles is the first female White House chief of staff and was viewed as critical to Trump’s electoral victory in 2024.

'DEAD BY JUNE': Trump revealed Monday that retiring Rep. Neal Dunn (R-Fla.) received a terminal diagnosis for a heart problem.

The president discussed Dunn’s health during a press conference at the Kennedy Center, introducing House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) and noting the small GOP majority he has to wrangle.

“We had one man who was very ill, it looked like he wasn’t going to make it. I don’t know. I won’t mention his name,” Trump said before turning to Johnson, who said Dunn had a “pretty grim diagnosis.”

“He would be dead by June,” Trump said.

“OK, that wasn’t public,” Johnson responded.

The Speaker said the diagnosis prompted Dunn to consider retiring early from his seat, but a midsession resignation would further strain Republicans’ razor-thin majority.

Johnson said Trump suggested getting his own White House doctors involved to help Dunn, who had emergency surgery “within hours.”

Dunn’s office has said the congressman plans to serve the rest of his term.

▪ The Independent: Trump drops jaws with Dunn comments.

VACCINE MOVES BLOCKED: A federal judge has blocked the changes that Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has made to federal vaccine policy.

U.S. District Judge Brian E. Murphy, a Biden appointee, granted a preliminary injunction Monday against the reduced childhood immunization schedule approved earlier this year, The Hill’s Joseph Choi reports. The request for the injunction came from the American Academy of Pediatrics.

Murphy also ruled against Kennedy’s overhaul of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), an independent panel that advises the agency on vaccines. Kennedy replaced the sitting committee members with many known vaccine skeptics and critics.

But Murphy ruled the revamp violated the Federal Advisory Committee Act, and he invalidated all votes made by the ACIP since then.

The ACIP has voted in favor of pulling back recommendations on several vaccines, including no longer recommending birth doses of the hepatitis B vaccine; delaying the combined measles, mumps, rubella and varicella vaccine; and leaving whether everyone 6 months and older should get the COVID-19 vaccine to “individual-based decision making.”

HHS has indicated it will appeal the ruling.

▪ The Wall Street Journal: White House puts HHS on tighter leash.

KENNEDY CENTER SHUTDOWN: The Trump-picked board of the Kennedy Center voted to approve the president’s push to close it for renovations.

The board unanimously voted Monday to shutter the center, which it had previously voted to rename the Trump Kennedy Center, for two years. It will close after a July 4 celebration and have a “Grand Re-Opening" when the renovations are completed.

The board also voted unanimously to name Matt Flora as the center’s new CEO and executive director, succeeding Richard Grenell, Trump’s envoy for special missions who has served as the acting leader for more than a year. Flora has served as the center’s vice president of operations.

Democrats and other critics of the president’s oversight of the center have denounced the renovations, which are coming after many performers at the center have canceled their shows as Trump has increased his influence.

▪ The Hill: Trump says ahead of vote that board members ‘have to close’ center.

HERE COMES THE POPE: Pope LEO XIV plans to appear virtually during a 250th anniversary event celebrating the U.S.’s independence in July as he receives a medal from the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia.

The first U.S.-born pope is set to receive the Liberty Medal in honor of his advocacy for "religious liberty, freedom of conscience and human dignity," said Vince Stango, the interim president and CEO of the center.

 

WHEN & WHERE

  • The president will participate in executive time at 8 a.m. He will greet the prime minister of Ireland at 10:45 a.m. and participate in a bilateral meeting at 11 a.m. He will participate in the Friend of Ireland Luncheon at 12:10 p.m. He will participate in a policy meeting at 2:30 p.m. and signing time at 4 p.m. He will greet the deputy first minister of Ireland at 5 p.m. and the prime minister at 5:05 p.m. before participating in the Shamrock Bowl Presentation at 5:20 p.m.
  • The House and Senate will convene at 10 a.m.

ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press | Jacquelyn Martin

FED HUDDLES: The Federal Reserve is in a precarious spot heading into its March policy meeting this week, dealing with an uncertain economy impacted by the war in Iran and continued pressure from the president.

Chair Jerome Powell and the Fed won a victory on Friday as a federal judge quashed subpoenas that the Department of Justice issued them for records on a renovation project that Powell testified about before Congress. The judge pointed to “abundant evidence” that the subpoenas were part of a pressure campaign, as Powell has alleged.

Trump has often openly slammed Powell and the Fed for not being more aggressive in lowering interest rates to power the economy.

Still, the Fed’s rate-setting committee faces a difficult task at its two-day meeting set to take place Tuesday and Wednesday, The Hill’s Sylvan Lane reports.

The Iran conflict’s impact on the price of oil and gas, sending costs soaring in the past two weeks, has thrown a wrench in the economic outlook. Lane reports the impacts could both slow the economy and accelerate inflation.

Along with the pressure of making an interest rate decision, the pressure from the president isn’t likely to end with the judge’s ruling as the administration made clear it plans to appeal.

▪ USA Today: What we know as Iran clouds picture.

▪ The New York Times: Appeal would complicate confirmation for next Fed chair.

ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press | Jose Luis Magana

MIGRANT CASE REVIEW: The Supreme Court agreed Monday to review the Trump administration’s authority to cut temporary protections for migrants from various countries.

The Temporary Protected Status (TPS) program was created in 1990 to protect foreign nationals who can’t safely return to their home country because of armed conflict, natural disasters or other temporary conditions. The administration has asked the court to allow it to end protections for more than 6,000 Syrians and roughly 350,000 Haitians.

The court will hear oral arguments the week of April 27. Lower court rulings blocking the administration from terminating the protections for Syria and Haiti will remain intact until then.

Targeting TPS has become an increasingly prominent part of the administration’s immigration policies, sparking various lawsuits, The Hill’s Zach Schonfeld reports. The Supreme Court intervened twice last year to allow the administration to move forward in curtailing protections for Venezuelans.

The administration has also targeted the protections for 11 other TPS-designated countries.

▪ The Hill: Appeals court allows swift deportations to third countries.

▪ The Hill: Advocacy group says Afghan who helped U.S. died in custody.

OPINION

  • Vance-Rubio rivalry put into sharp contrast by Iran war, The Hill’s Chris Stirewalt writes.
  • How Congress can — and must — fix the Supreme Court, Rep. Sean Casten (D-Ill.) writes in The Hill.

THE CLOSER

© The Associated Press | Evan Agostini

And finally … Actor Sean Penn was revealed to be meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Monday, explaining his absence from the Academy Awards the night before.

Penn won best supporting actor for his role in “One Battle After Another” at the awards show, making him the only Oscar winner who didn’t attend.

Zelensky revealed Penn was visiting him in a post on the social platform X, thanking him for being a “true friend” of Ukraine.

“You have stood with Ukraine since the first day of the full-scale war. This is still true today. And we know that you will continue to stand with our country and our people,” Zelensky said, posting a picture of the two of them.

Penn has been a strong advocate of Ukraine as it has fought off Russia’s invasion over the past four years.

 

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