Plus: Trump’s endorsement put to test

 MORNING REPORT

 MORNING REPORT

 

Friday, October 30 | By Jared Gans

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In today's issue:

▪ Cracks appear in Iran ceasefire

▪ Trump’s endorsement put to test

▪ Abortion pill ruling paused

▪ A key Michigan special election

© The Associated Press | Amirhosein Khorgooi

Hormuz attacks strain US-Iran ceasefire

The ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is showing major cracks for the first time since President Trump declared it would extend indefinitely to allow for peace negotiations.

The president’s move to guide ships through the Strait of Hormuz starting Monday led to tit-for-tat attack between U.S. and Iranian forces.

After Iran opened fire on U.S. warships, the U.S. military retaliated in destroying six Iranian small boats, according to Adm. Brad Cooper, the head of U.S. Central Command (Centcom).

Cooper said the military intercepted Iranian cruise missiles and drones. He “strongly advised” Iran to stay away from U.S. military assets as the U.S. proceeds with Project Freedom, the effort to help ships navigate through the strait.

Centcom said Monday that two cargo ships passed through the strait, but hundreds remain stuck in the Persian Gulf.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), a key U.S. ally in the region, reported missile and drone attacks from Tehran on Monday, the first since the ceasefire started nearly a month ago. The country’s defense ministry reported that three cruise missiles were intercepted, while one landed in the sea.

Cooper would not say during his call with reporters whether the ceasefire had ended, The Hill’s Ellen Mitchell and Filip Timotija report.

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s top negotiator, accused the U.S. of violating the truce in a post on the social platform X early Tuesday morning.

“The security of shipping and energy transit has been jeopardized by the United States and its allies through the violation of the ceasefire and the imposition of a blockade," he wrote. “We know full well that the continuation of the status quo is intolerable for America; while we have not even begun yet.”

Trump stopped short of accusing Iran of violating the ceasefire in a conversation with ABC News’s Jonathan Karl on Monday.

“They were shot down for the most part,” Trump said of the UAE attacks. “One got through. Not huge damage.”

He urged South Korea to act after the country’s foreign ministry said it was looking into the possibility that a South Korean vessel may have been attacked in the strait. No casualties were reported despite a fire and explosion on the ship.

But some congressional Republicans, including at least one key ally, are urging the president to resume U.S. strikes.

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), one of the most hawkish members of Congress, said the Iranian attack against the UAE and continued attacks on international shipping “more than justifies a big, strong and short response to inflict further damage on Iran’s war machine.”

“Iran’s recent brazen attack against the UAE tells me a lot about who’s in charge in Iran and the chance of a diplomatic solution any time soon,” he said in a post on X.

Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) also backed a return to hostilities.

“The ceasefire has ceased. Time for Iran to learn another harsh lesson,” he said on X.

Renewed hostilities would likely send gas prices even higher after they have already surged more than 30 cents in the past week. AAA lists the average national cost of regular gas as now approaching $4.50 per gallon, the highest it’s been in four years.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sought to reassure the public on Monday that “help is on the way” for gas prices, if Project Freedom succeeds in freeing ships.

“So, every crew carrier that goes through [the strait] has about 2 million barrels, so four or five crew carriers a day coming through, of the pent-up demand, we think they’re more than 150, 200 crew carriers that can come out. So, I think the market’s going to be very well supplied,” he said on Fox News’s “America’s Newsroom.”

Trump said Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine will hold a news conference this morning, as the U.S. weighs its response to Iran’s latest aggression.

▪ The Hill: Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) spearheads GOP showdown on Iran.

▪ Axios: Trump’s frustration with Iran stalemate sparked Hormuz gambit.

3 Things to Know Today

 
  1. The Securities and Exchange Commission has reached a settlement with Elon Musk for the delayed disclosure of his stake in X following his purchase of the social media platform. He will pay a $1.5 million civil penalty.
  2. The White House Counsel's Office is giving private briefings to the administration's political appointees on how to prepare for congressional oversight as Democrats seem likely to win control of at least one chamber of Congress in November, The Washington Post reported. The briefings include a PowerPoint on how oversight works and best ways to handle it.
  3. Human-to-human transmission may have occurred amid an outbreak of the hantavirus on a cruise off the coast of Africa, the World Health Organization said. Three people have died, and several others have become ill.

LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press | Jacquelyn Martin

TRUMP’S TEST: The power of Trump’s endorsement in the Republican Party will be put to the test today in more than a half-dozen Indiana state Senate primaries where the president is trying to oust GOP incumbents.

Trump followed through on his threat to support primary challengers to any state Republican lawmakers who rebuffed his push for the Hoosier  State to redraw its congressional district lines ahead of the midterms.

He has regularly endorsed in Republican primaries to back his preferred candidates, but a president wading into state legislative races has been almost unheard of previously.

The president has endorsed challengers to seven sitting GOP incumbents — state Sens. Spencer Deery, Greg Goode, Travis Holdman, Dan Dernulc, Linda Rogers, Greg Walker and Jim Buck.

Pro-redistricting groups have spent millions of dollars seeking to help oust them. Influential conservative organizations such as Club for Growth and Turning Point USA have weighed in to support the challengers.

With virtually no polling in the contests, knowing how much of a chance the challengers have is difficult, The Hill’s Julia Mueller reports. Experts say the results could be a mixed bag.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if you know, several of [the incumbents] go down. I would not be surprised if several of those who the president opposes win pretty handily,” said Scott Tranter, the director of data science for Decision Desk HQ.

If the challengers win, they will have Trump to thank, said Pete Seat, an Indiana GOP strategist.

▪ The Hill: GOP, Trump face tough midterm odds.

▪ The Hill: Dems wonder if they need an outsider.

‘SIGNED, SEALED, AND DELIVERED’: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has signed a new congressional map into law that could provide his party with four additional seats in the November midterms.

The move marks the latest effort by Republicans to try to shore up as many House seats as they can through mid-decade redistricting ahead of the midterms, in which they will try to hold onto their narrow majority in the lower chamber. DeSantis announced the move in a post on social media.

The map still faces hurdles as Democrats have vowed to challenge the map in court.

The map quickly picked up one legal challenge as a Black-led, nonpartisan organization called the Equal Ground Education Fund filed a lawsuit against the map hours after DeSantis approved it.

The redistricting battle isn’t done, as Republicans in states including Tennessee and Alabama have pushed for redrawing their congressional lines following the Supreme Court’s decision last week further restricting the Voting Rights Act.

▪ Florida Politics: The state of play under the new map.

▪ The Associated Press: Redistricting war accelerates winner-take-all combat.

GREEN LIGHT: The Supreme Court sped up the implementation of its VRA ruling in Louisiana, ordering it to be put into effect immediately as GOP lawmakers move to enact a new congressional map for the midterms.

The court traditionally has a 32-day default window following an opinion before a case is returned to a lower court. But the court moved to send it back Monday, all but ensuring the state will have the opportunity to redraw one of its two majority Black House districts.

Justices Samuel Alito and Ketanji Brown Jackson stood on opposite sides of the ruling, accusing the other of lacking restraint. Justices Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch joined Alito's opinion, but no other justice disclosed their vote.

A Louisiana legislative committee is expected to meet Friday to hear public comments on a new congressional map and will plan to meet again early next week to vote on it. The map could give the GOP an additional pickup opportunity in the midterms.

▪ The Hill: Top Democrat pushing for redistricting in New York.

ABORTION PILL BATTLE: Alito has briefly paused an appeals court ruling that would prevent one of the two abortion pills from being prescribed without an in-person doctor visit.

Alito ordered the ruling paused for one week as the Supreme Court considers the case. The order will temporarily restore access to the drug but doesn’t necessarily indicate the court’s thinking on the issue, The Hill’s Zach Schonfeld and Nathaniel Weixel report.

The ruling came after drug manufacturers asked the high court to freeze the ruling from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit, which blocked a 2023 regulation allowing mifepristone to be prescribed through telehealth, in pharmacies and through the mail.

Medication abortions have become increasingly common in the aftermath of the Supreme Court’s overturn of Roe v. Wade in 2022 as right-leaning states have significantly restricted access to the procedure since then. The parties in the case will have until Thursday to respond.

▪ NPR: How medication abortion works with just one drug.

▪ The New York Times: Abortion laws across the country.

UNDER CONTROL: Officials quickly secured the area after a shooting happened near the National Mall on Monday, an incident that led to the press at the White House being evacuated from the North Lawn.

A bystander was shot during the shooting that took place at 15th Street and Independence Avenue adjacent to the Washington Monument. A man whom the Secret Service described as a “suspicious individual” was also shot and taken to a hospital.

The bystander is a juvenile and did not receive life-threatening injuries.

The Secret Service said it had not immediately determined a motive for the shooting.

 

WHEN & WHERE

  • The president will sign a proclamation at 10:30 a.m. He will participate in a policy meeting at noon and participate in a pre-tape interview at 3 p.m. He will participate in a Rose Garden Club dinner at 7 p.m.
  • The House and Senate are out today.

ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press | Carlos Osorio

MICHIGAN TEST RUN: Both parties are looking to a special election in a state Senate district today as a sign of their strength in the critical battleground of Michigan heading into the midterms this fall.

Voters are heading to the polls in Michigan Senate District 35 to vote on who should fill the seat vacated by Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet (D-Mich.), who stepped down after she was elected to the U.S. House in 2024. The contest features three candidates: Democrat Chedrick Greene, a firefighter and former aide to McDonald Rivet; Republican Jason Tunney, an attorney; and Libertarian Ali Sledz.

The race is key for Michigan’s state government as Democrats currently hold a 19-18 majority in the Legislature’s upper chamber. A Democratic victory would solidify the majority, while a Republican win would make it a tie, requiring Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist II, a Democrat, to break it.

But the race is also part of a bigger picture, taking place in a district that voted for former Vice President Kamala Harris by less than 1 point in 2024.

A wide margin of victory in District 35 would give some reassurance to Democrats as the party navigates an increasingly messy Senate primary between three major candidates — Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow and former Wayne County Health Director Abdul El-Sayed.

Polling has shown all three candidates locked in a roughly even race for the lead for the nomination. And early surveys have also shown a competitive race between any of the three candidates and the likely Republican nominee, former Rep. Mike Rogers, in a general election.

An overperformance for Republicans on Tuesday would be welcome news for the Rogers camp.

▪ Bridge Michigan: How the race could upend Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s (D) last year.

ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press | Evan Agostini

BACKLASH AND BOYCOTTS: Several celebrities refused to attend this year’s Met Gala on Monday in protest of the ceremony’s lead sponsor, Jeff Bezos.

The museum announced in February that Bezos and his wife, Lauren Sánchez Bezos, would serve as the honorary chairs for the gala. But the decision stoked backlash from protesters and some high-profile figures.

The activist group Everyone Hates Elon, a reference to Elon Musk, projected messages against Bezos on his penthouse in Manhattan on Sunday, calling for people to “boycott the Bezos Met Gala.” It also said members would be placing more than 300 bottles of fake urine around the museum as preparations took place.

The move is a reference to accusations from Amazon employees who have alleged the demands of their jobs have required them to pee in bottles during their shift.

Amazon reached a settlement with the Labor Department in 2024 over federal workplace safety violations.

Celebrities who have attended the event in past years have signaled they wouldn’t show up this time, ranging from model Bella Hadid to actress Taraji P. Henson.

“I am so confused by some ppl that are going. I am just like WTF ARE WE DOING!?!?!?!” Henson commented on a video calling out celebrities who planned to attend, according to Forbes.

The gala was first held in 1948, designed to support the museum’s costume institute and other activities.

▪ The New York Times: The gala’s embrace of Bezos.

▪ People: The gala’s theme and dress code, explained.

OPINION

  • Trump and Meloni’s transatlantic divorce is important, Frank DiFulvio writes in The Hill.
  • Spirit may be gone, but flyers still need a low-cost airline, Thomas Black writes in Bloomberg.

THE CLOSER

© The Associated Press | Lee Jin-man

And finally … Various politicians and lawmakers got into the “Star Wars” spirit on Monday for May 4, commonly known as “Star Wars Day.”

The annual holiday for fans of the cinematic universe comes from a play on words of the phrase, “May the force be with you.”

The White House depicted Trump as the Mandalorian ahead of the release of the movie, “The Mandalorian and Grogu,” later this month. The Labor Department encouraged interested applicants to apply to join the department and “become an apprentice today.”

Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-Fla.) posted an image depicting him in the Millenium Falcon as Han Solo, alongside Rep. James Comer (R-Ky) as Chewbacca, while former presidential candidate Andrew Yang shared a poster from “Return of the Jedi” with his face on multiple characters and the title, “Return of the Yang.”

Meanwhile, Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) posted an image depicting herself as a Jedi with a blue lightsaber, standing next to a diminutive House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) as Yoda.

 

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