Plus: Trump pushing gas tax suspension

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In today's issue:

▪ Unusual primaries in Nebraska

▪ Trump pushing gas tax suspension

▪ Supreme Court’s Alabama ruling

▪ Democrats consider next steps

© The Associated Press | Margery A. Beck

Is Nebraska’s ‘blue dot’ in jeopardy? 

The outcome of today’s primaries to replace GOP Rep. Don Bacon (Neb.) could have dramatic rippling effects for the future of the state’s electoral system.

Democrats have smelled blood in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District since Bacon announced last summer that he wouldn’t seek reelection this year. The moderate Republican fended off multiple Democratic challenges over the past decade in the district, comprised of Omaha and its suburbs.

State Sen. John Cavanaugh and political consultant and activist Denise Powell are the two most prominent Democrats running in the six-person field for the party’s nomination.

Either of them would likely be viewed as at least the slight favorite against the presumptive Republican nominee, Omaha City Council member Brinker Harding. The district is one of just three nationwide that voted for former Vice President Kamala Harris and elected a Republican to the House in 2024.

But some Democrats are expressing concern about dominos that could fall if Cavanaugh wins the Democratic primary, and eventually the general election.

Under state law, Republican Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen would be responsible for filling a vacancy that would arise from Cavanaugh leaving his state Senate seat for the House. Republicans already hold a two-thirds supermajority in Nebraska’s unicameral legislature, but one additional pickup for the GOP could give the party the support it needs to change how the Cornhusker State allocates its votes in presidential elections.

Nebraska is one of two states in the country — along with Maine — that distributes its electoral votes to the winner of each of its congressional districts instead of by winner-take-all. That system has been to the chagrin of Republicans in recent years as Democrats have won the 2nd District’s single electoral vote, known as the “blue dot,” in the 2020 and 2024 elections.

Republicans pushed to eliminate that system last year to become a winner-take-all state, but that effort narrowly failed as two Republicans broke ranks to vote with all Democrats against it.

Powell and Douglas County District Court Clerk Crystal Rhoades, another Democrat in the race, have argued a Cavanaugh victory may hand Republicans the support they need to finally change the system, costing Democrats a valuable electoral vote.

Cavanaugh has brushed off the concern, noting that Republicans have already had dominant control of the state government but haven’t changed the system yet.

“They control all of the levers of power in the state of Nebraska, and they haven’t eliminated the blue dot,” he told The New York Times, adding that he expects Democrats would easily make gains in the Legislature this November to offset the potential loss of his seat.

▪ The Hill: Battle for House control heats up in Nebraska.

SENATE GAMBIT: The favorite to win the Democratic primary for Senate has made an unusual promise to voters: quickly drop out of the race.

Cindy Burbank, a retired pharmacy technician, is running in the Democratic primary against William Forbes, a pastor who has been strongly against abortion. Burbank has the support of the Nebraska Democratic Party, but she is explicitly running to help clear the way for independent Dan Osborn.

Osborn is running in his second consecutive Senate race, seeking to oust GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts after losing a race against Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.) in 2024. Osborn, a mechanic, is seen as a more competitive candidate than anyone the Democrats could nominate.

Democrats accuse Forbes of being a Republican plant to try to disrupt their plan and take votes away from Osborn if he advances to the general election.

Nebraska Secretary of State Bob Evnen (R) sought to remove Burbank from the ballot because she plans to drop out, but that move was overturned by the state Supreme Court.

▪ Nebraska Public Media: Changes to state ballot measures could impact midterms.

Smart Take 
with Blake Burman

President Trump just threw his support behind pausing the federal fuel tax. The idea would have to be approved by Congress, where there’s been some bipartisan support. However, states can also eliminate their own taxes on gasoline, which are higher than the federal level in many cases. I asked Kelly Loeffler, the administrator of the Small Business Administration, if the Trump administration wants all states across the country to make that move as well. 

“The states have that option to do that, but the states are doing so many other great things that comport to President Trump's economic agenda,” Loeffler told me. “Certainly, taking those steps is at the states’ discretion,” she added. 

As a result of the war with Iran, Geogia and Indiana have already shut off their gas taxes for the time being. As Trump has blessed the concept, now the question becomes if more states follow suit. At the minimum, it might be hard at this point for those states who are led by Republicans to not follow the policy coming out of the White House.

 

Burman hosts "The Hill" weeknights, 6p/5c on NewsNation.

3 Things to Know Today

 
  1. Eileen Wang, the mayor of Arcadia, Calif., resigned after agreeing to plead guilty to a single felony count for acting as a covert foreign agent of China. She faces a minimum of 10 years in prison.
  2. Trump nominated Kari Lake to serve as U.S. ambassador to Jamaica. The nomination comes after Lake served as the acting CEO of the U.S. Agency for Global Media, during which she attempted to lay off hundreds of workers. Those moves were blocked by a federal judge.
  3. Trump will have his annual physical later this month at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, the White House announced Monday. It will include routine dental and medical assessments.

LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press | Jenny Kane

SEEKING RELIEF: Some momentum is rising to suspend the national gas tax as prices continue to climb and Trump suggests the ceasefire with Iran is on “life support.”

Trump told CBS News in an interview Monday that he wants to suspend the gas tax “for a period of time.”

“We're going to take off the gas tax for a period of time, and when gas goes down, we'll let it phase back in,” he said.

The move would provide some amount of relief to the American public as prices have soared since the Iran war began in late February. The average cost of regular gas currently stands at $4.50 per gallon, following increase of 25 cents over a week, according to AAA.

Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.), two key Trump allies in Congress, both quickly announced they would introduce legislation for a suspension.

But while any drop in cost would be welcome news to Americans struggling with high prices, the impacts would still be limited. The national tax for gasoline is 18.4 cents per gallon, while the tax for diesel is 24.4 cents per gallon.

Suspending the tax would lower the price, but it would still be well above where it was before the war began.

The effort may also face some opposition in Congress. Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) reportedly said Monday that he has not “been a fan” of suspending the gas tax, while Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) said two weeks ago that a suspension would be a “good way to bankrupt the country.”

▪ The Hill: The Memo: Iran ceasefire teeters as Trump blasts Iran proposal.

▪ The Hill: Odds of voter revolt over economy depend on Iran war.

OBSTACLE CLEARED: The Supreme Court wiped a lower-court decision that blocked a congressional map that Alabama Republicans are hoping to use for this year’s midterms.

The decision is the latest outgrowth of the court’s landmark ruling from last month that further restricted the use of the Voting Rights Act (VRA) to create minority majority congressional districts.

The ruling gives Alabama the opportunity to revert to the map the state passed in 2023 that had only one majority-Black congressional district. A panel of judges rejected that map and imposed a court-ordered map currently in effect that includes two majority-Black districts.

The Supreme Court ruling now gives Alabama the chance to convince the lower court to allow the 2023 map to take effect. The ruling was delivered over the dissent of the high court’s three liberal justices.

The decision also came as Virginia Democrats formally asked the Supreme Court to overturn a state Supreme Court ruling that struck down a new map that would likely net them up to four pickup opportunities. Unless the high court intervenes, Virginia will keep its current map in place this year.

▪ The Hill: Supreme Court extends pause on abortion pill restrictions.

▪ The Hill: Trump encourages South Carolina Republicans on redistricting.

RED FLAG: A group has sued over Trump’s project to coat the Reflecting Pool in Washington, D.C., in “American flag blue,” arguing it violates environmental and preservation laws.

The Cultural Landscape Foundation and its founder, Charles Birnbaum, argued the blue coating is “altering the historic character” of the pool, which runs from the Lincoln Memorial to the World War II Memorial, without authorization. The organization asked a district court in D.C. for an emergency injunction to stop the project.

The lawsuit argues the National Historic Preservation Act requires the government to conduct consultations before changing the property. It also argues the project doesn’t meet the government’s obligations under the National Environmental Policy Act.

The project is just one of the Trump administration’s endeavors in the nation’s capital that have faced legal scrutiny and other pushback, including the construction of a White House ballroom, the possible repainting of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building and renovations to the city’s golf courses.

▪ The New York Times: Reflecting pool repairs to exceed $13 million.

SUBPOENAS: The Wall Street Journal said it has received subpoenas from the Department of Justice (DOJ) for the records of its reporters, the latest move in the department's probe trying to crack down on leaks.

The Journal reported that Trump privately complained to acting Attorney General Todd Blanche last month about leaks amid the Iran war, leading to an aggressive push by the DOJ to investigate. An official told the outlet that Blanche vowed to secure subpoenas targeting the records of reporters who worked on sensitive national security stories.

The subpoenas to the Journal are related to a Feb. 23 article the outlet published, reporting that Joint Chiefs of Staff Chair Gen. Dan Caine and other Pentagon officials warned Trump about the risk of an extended military campaign in Iran. The war started with coordinated U.S.-Israeli airstrikes days later.

“The government’s subpoenas to The Wall Street Journal and our reporters represent an attack on constitutionally protected newsgathering. We will vigorously oppose this effort to stifle and intimidate essential reporting," Ashok Sinha, the chief communications officer of Dow Jones, which publishes the Journal, said in a statement.

The DOJ has also been in a legal battle attempting to access devices seized from a reporter for The Washington Post in a classified documents leak probe earlier this year.

 

WHEN & WHERE

  • The president will participate in a print interview at 11 a.m. He will later depart the White House to travel to Beijing for a multi-day trip.
  • The Senate will meet at 10 a.m.
  • The House will convene at noon.

ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press | Jose Luis Magana

NOW WHAT? Democrats are mulling over their path forward on redistricting as the party faces limited options to respond to last-minute Republican moves to shore up more House seats ahead of the midterm elections.

The Supreme Court’s VRA ruling opened a new phase in the redistricting war that seems poised to mostly benefit Republicans. Several GOP-led states in the South are moving forward with plans to redraw their congressional maps and eliminate Democratic-held majority-Black districts.

Although Democrats are likely to pick up as many as five new seats in California with a new map, they don’t have many avenues to respond in other states, particularly after the new Virginia map was blocked.

The House Democratic Caucus is set to huddle together Thursday in the Capitol to plan next steps on redistricting and fighting for judicial, electoral and campaign finance reforms if they take back control of Congress next year.

The Hill’s Mike Lillis reports Democratic leaders behind House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) are planning a full-court press.

“We remain undeterred,” Jeffries wrote Monday in a letter to Democrats. “Our effort to forcefully push back against the Republican redistricting scheme will not slow down. We are just getting started.”

But the short window left before the midterms limits the steps they can take before November.

Instead, Lillis reports Democrats are prepared to double down on their economic message highlighting rising costs, the strategy they planned at the start of the cycle.

▪ The Hill: Karl Rove says GOP election maps could backfire.

▪ CNN: Enthusiasm gap between Dems, GOP ahead of midterms.

ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press | Godofredo A. Vásquez

BIG BUSINESS TRIP: More than a dozen major business leaders will join Trump on his trip to China later this week.

A White House official said the group joining Trump for his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping includes Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Apple CEO Tim Cook and BlackRock CEO Larry Fink.

Other notable business leaders included are Meta president Dina Powell McCormick, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg, among others.

The decision by Trump for business leaders to join him echoes the trip he made to Saudi Arabia last May that also included various such figures, including Musk and Powell McCormick.

Trump is expected to meet with Xi on Thursday and Friday after his trip was postponed by a few weeks amid the Iran war. The conflict is casting a dark cloud over his meeting, potentially giving Xi and China the advantage, The Hill’s Laura Kelly reports.

▪ The Hill: U.S., China arrest five in joint drug sting.

▪ The Hill: Taiwan doesn’t want ‘surprises’ during Trump-Xi meeting.

STANDING GROUND: U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is resisting calls for his resignation amid mounting opposition within his own party.

Public opinion has gradually shifted against Starmer since he became the head of the country's government in 2024 for various issues, including policy missteps, a perception of a lack of decisive action and economic struggles. He also faced intense backlash over his appointment of Peter Mandelson, who had ties to Jeffrey Epstein, as U.K. ambassador to the U.S.

But the calls for his exit started to pile up after the party suffered major defeats in local elections last week.

More than 70 Labour members of the House of Commons, representing nearly a fifth of the party's delegation, have said he should resign or set a timeline for leaving, The Associated Press reported.

Starmer is so far rejecting the push for him to step aside, telling Cabinet members on Tuesday that he would not resign.

“The country expects us to get on with governing,” Starmer said. “That is what I am doing and what we must do.”

OPINION

  • Congress should come together to address young adult suicide, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) writes in The Hill.
  • Planning endgames in Iran, Ukraine and Taiwan must start now, Harlan Ullman writes in The Hill.

THE CLOSER

© The Associated Press | Charles Sykes

And finally … Anchor Savannah Guthrie is taking on a new role as NBC is turning the popular word game Wordle into a game show.

The “Today Show” host will lead the program in primetime and challenge contestants to solve five-letter word puzzles in a partnership with Jimmy Fallon’s Electric Hot Dog production company and The New York Times, which acquired the game in 2022.

The show will be the latest role for Guthrie, who returned to NBC’s flagship morning show last month after a two-month hiatus following the disappearance of her mother, Nancy Guthrie. The case received national attention with investigators and Savannah Guthrie requesting the public’s help in locating her, but no leads have ultimately come to fruition.

Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos said Saturday that officials have made progress in the search. More than three months have passed since investigators believe Nancy Guthrie was abducted from her home in Arizona.

 

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