Presented by Duke Energy — Plus: House to vote on FISA extension

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Friday, October 30 | By Sarah Fortinsky and Jared Gans

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In today's issue:

▪ Trump brushes off inflation report

▪ House to vote on FISA extension

▪ New House member sworn in

▪ California faces pressure on election procedures

© The Associated Press | Julia Demaree Nikhinson

Trump’s inflation messaging a ‘doozy’ for GOP

President Trump’s remarks on the latest inflation data are once again putting him at odds with Republicans and the narrative they hope to set ahead of the midterms.

Asked about Wednesday’s consumer price index report showing the inflation rate reaching 4.2 percent in May — the highest point in three years — the president appeared to brush off those concerns, telling reporters, “No, I love it. The numbers were great.”

“I love the inflation,” the president added.

Republican strategists tell Morning Report that Trump’s message runs counter to GOP efforts to communicate their focus on the economy to voters ahead of the midterms and puts members in the difficult position of having to defend the president’s comments.

“It's extremely unhelpful to any Republican who's on the ballot,” former Republican National Committee communications director Doug Heye said. “If you wanted to proactively get messaging wrong, this is how you would do it.”

Trump has on several occasions brushed off the economic and political fallout of the Iran war. He said last month that he wasn’t thinking “even a little bit” about Americans' cost of living in negotiating with Iran and doesn’t care about the midterms.

Heye said he could understand the context of those past comments but, he added, “It's hard to see any argument where this could be spun favorably."

Republican strategist Ron Bonjean encouraged the White House to “clarify very quickly that Trump thought the inflation number would be much higher and that he is confident the number will come down once hostilities end with Iran.”

“GOP Members will need this air cover almost immediately so they can point to what Trump meant by this,” Bonjean said.

The president attempted to do that in an interview with The New York Post on Wednesday afternoon.

“I was talking about inflation numbers that will be so good as soon as the war ends. The numbers will come way down, that’s what I’m talking about,” Trump said. “I’m always taken out of context.”

Asked about the remarks, the White House referred The Hill to the president’s Truth Social post claiming the U.S. military successfully carried out a “secret mission” to move more than 100 million barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz.

Republicans in Congress are already getting peppered with questions about the remarks.

CNN’s Manu Raju caught up with Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.), who said Trump’s remarks were taken “totally out of context” and that the president is “laser focused on the domestic economic situation.”

“What he [Trump] was saying is, it’s going to be great to have that number and compare it to what comes next when we get these situations resolved,” Johnson said. “That’ll be a fun thing to consider and to compare.”

Regardless of the context, GOP strategists worry the remark will be clipped and included in midterm ads for Democrats around the country.

"Republicans have learned to shimmy and shake around the more colorful comments the President makes, and this one, admittedly, is a doozy. But his point is correct: A nuclear Iran is much worse than four percent inflation,” GOP political consultant Bill O’Reilly said.

“If inflation is reasonable and trending downward in September and October, this quip will be forgotten,” he continued. “If it's rising, we'll be seeing about a billion ads on it before Election Day.”

Decision Desk HQ chief elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley called the remarks “unhelpful” and noted how they reinforce voter sentiment, pointing to a recent poll showing just 29 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s handling of the economy and 21 percent approve of his handling of inflation.

“The midterms are five months away, and the country isn't going to suddenly become dramatically more positive about this state of affairs,” Skelley said. “That leaves the GOP less time for public sentiment to gradually shift positively, making it more likely that Republicans will face pretty serious economic headwinds in the midterms.”

The president’s comments came as he warned Wednesday that the U.S. military could continue its retaliatory strikes against Iran. Hours later, the U.S. Central Command began launching another round of strikes at the president’s direction.

Trump earlier Wednesday indicated his interest in working toward a “meaningful deal” with Iran but signaled he wasn’t done punishing Iran for shooting down an Apache helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz earlier this week.

“So, we’ll see what happens, but we hit them hard yesterday, and we’re going to hit them again hard today, in case you missed it, in case you don’t turn on your television set — and we’ll see what happens with the deal,” the president told reporters earlier Wednesday.

“We were really close to a deal, but they keep tapping us along; they keep playing us for suckers,” he added.

▪ The New York Times: Trump’s ‘secret mission’ to ferry oil was widely disclosed.

▪ The Hill: Senate GOP support for Trump’s war stance erodes.

▪ The Hill: The Memo: Trump faces slippage back toward war.

 

3 Things to Know Today

 
  1. The Florida Supreme Court declined to halt the use of a new congressional map passed by state Republicans, delivering another blow to Democrats’ efforts to counter GOP redistricting. The new map gives Republicans four new pick-up opportunities ahead of November.
  2. An appeals court blocked the Thursday execution of a death row inmate in Alabama, ruling the method, exposure to nitrogen gas, was in violation of the Constitution's ban on cruel and unusual punishment. “Fear not, I am not finished, and just, you know, to me, my faith is everything,” Jeffery Lee told NBC News.
  3. The man accused of assassinating a top Minnesota state lawmaker and her husband last year in a high-profile instance of political violence is expected to plead guilty in court today. He is also facing charges of attempted murder of a state senator and his wife.

LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press | Mariam Zuhaib

TICK TOCK: Congress has two days to reup the federal government’s warrantless foreign spy powers as Trump pushes for lawmakers to pass another short-term extension.

The House is set to vote today on legislation to extend Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) through July 2, potentially giving lawmakers more time to come to a resolution. Still, questions remain over whether the bill will have enough votes to pass in both chambers of Congress.

The provision of FISA, which expires Friday, permits the government to conduct surveillance on foreigners located abroad without obtaining a warrant. Its proponents consider the statute to be critical to the country’s intelligence-gathering and ability to fight terrorism.

The battle over renewing the provision revolves around Trump’s planned appointment of Bill Pulte, who has had a controversial tenure as head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, as acting director of national intelligence later this month.

Trump called on Congress on Wednesday to pass a short-term extension to “provide time for the selection and confirmation of a permanent” national intelligence director.

Senate Democrats say they won’t extend FISA as long as Pulte remains in the role, rejecting efforts on Wednesday to fast-track a three-week extension.

Sen. Mark Warner (Va.), the top Democrat on the Senate intelligence committee, said he’d back the extension if Trump moved the existing No. 2 official in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Aaron Lukas, into the acting director role.

▪ The Hill: Pulte clash threatens extension.

▪ The Hill: What is Section 702?

NOT DEAD YET: Trump called on Congress on Wednesday to quickly pass a third reconciliation bill to provide additional military funding amid the Iran war.

Hours after signing a second reconciliation bill providing funding for immigration enforcement agencies for the next few years, the president said the next legislative package should provide $350 billion and include the SAVE America Act, a voting requirements bill that Trump has been pushing for months.

The SAVE Act has already been deemed ineligible for reconciliation, which can only include certain budgetary measures. And two key GOP senators, Susan Collins of Maine and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, cast doubt on the prospect of a third bill on Tuesday, agreeing that it likely won't happen.

But some powerful Republicans seem to think a defense-focused third reconciliation bill could still be in play.

Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Kan.), chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, told Punchbowl News that he doesn't agree with McConnell and Collins.

“I have great respect for their point of view, and it is possible that circumstances may alter those points of view,” he said.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reportedly briefed Wicker and his House counterpart, Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Ala.), earlier this week on a supplemental that would backfill U.S. weapons stockpiles used up during the Iran war and Venezuela operations.

 ▪ The Hill: Government funding hits wall as senators point fingers.

NEXT UP: Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and high-profile attorney Alan Dershowitz may be the next major figures to appear before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee for its investigation into Jeffrey Epstein.

House Oversight Chair James Comer (R-Ky.) said Wednesday that he would like to bring in Blanche and Dershowitz as part of the probe into the disgraced financier and those who associated with him.

Former Attorney General Pam Bondi, whom Trump fired before naming Blanche the acting head of the Department of Justice (DOJ), repeatedly said during a transcribed interview that Blanche led many of the department’s decisions regarding the Epstein files.

Dershowitz previously represented Epstein, having helped secure his controversial 2008 plea deal in which Epstein agreed to plead guilty to a count of soliciting prostitution from a minor.

Comer’s announcement came ahead of a voluntary interview that Bill Gates gave to the panel, as the Microsoft co-founder has also faced scrutiny for his contact with Epstein. The chair said he’s in touch with the DOJ about an interview for Blanche in July, working around Blanche’s expected confirmation hearing schedule to become permanent attorney general.

▪ The Hill: Dershowitz wants ‘complete transparency’ if called to testify.

▪ The Wall Street Journal: Gates says his affairs had ‘nothing to do’ with Epstein.

MORE BREATHING ROOM: Rep. James Gallagher (R-Calif.) has been sworn in as the newest member of Congress, giving the GOP slightly more room for error in party-line votes.

Gallagher won a special election held last week to fill the remainder of the seat of the late Rep. Doug LaMalfa (R-Calif.), who died in January at 65 years old. Gallagher easily won the special election in the solidly red California 1st Congressional District.

His addition brings the margin in the House to 218 Republicans and 212 Democrats, with one independent — Rep. Kevin Kiley (Calif.), who caucuses with the GOP. Johnson, the House speaker, can now afford to lose three members of his conference in party-line votes, presuming full attendance.

Republicans aren’t likely to hold Gallagher's seat for much longer, as the district shifted considerably to the left in California’s new congressional map set to take effect for next year. That makes the 1st District a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats.

▪ Axios: How Republicans made the House harder for Dems to win.

 

WHEN & WHERE

  • The president will receive an intelligence briefing at 11 a.m. He will sign a proclamation at 3 p.m. and participate in a policy meeting at 4:30 p.m. He will participate in tele-rallies at 6:30 p.m. and 7 p.m.
  • The House will convene at 9 a.m.
  • The Senate will meet at 10 a.m.
 

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ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press | Achmad Ibrahim

BRASS ATTACKS: Former military leaders are up in arms over Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s targeted blocks on promoting Navy and Air Force officers, calling the moves unprecedented and an abuse of power.

The Hill’s Filip Timotija reports Hegseth’s allies say the Pentagon doesn’t consider skin color or gender in promotion decisions, but perceptions of bias have been fueled by his war against diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives.

A disproportionate number of the nine stalled promotions in the Navy were reportedly women or minorities. The blocks came a few months after Hegseth and Army Secretary Dan Driscoll feuded over demands to remove certain names from the branch’s promotion list.

“There seems to be an assumption that if you were a minority or a woman and you were promoted, that it was because of your identity and not because you’re good at what you do,” said Frank Kendall, the former Air Force secretary during the Biden administration.

Former defense officials also told Timotija they’re worried about officers deciding to leave the military when their career progress comes to a standstill.

▪ The New York Times: Hegseth visits Guantánamo Bay amid Cuba tensions.

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ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press | Jae C. Hong

EYES ON THE GOLDEN STATE: California is facing increasing pressure to adjust its election procedures after a lengthy process for votes to be counted in its primaries last week spurred backlash and conspiracy theories about its system.

The Los Angeles mayoral race in particular drew scrutiny as late-arriving ballots propelled progressive City Council member Nithya Raman ahead of Republican Spencer Pratt, setting Raman up to face Mayor Karen Bass (D) in the general election. That led to claims without evidence from the president and some of his allies alleging fraud.

Election officials and campaign operatives from both parties rejected those claims. But Sarah reports the latest round of criticism has renewed concerns that delays in vote counting can invite more skepticism and misinformation about elections.

“The length [of time] that it takes to count the ballots has become a bit of a joke and leaves a lot of daylight to be exploited by conspiracy theorists or by people who just want to advance the notion of stolen elections, like the president does,” Republican strategist Rob Stutzman said.

Many Democrats and election officials have emphasized the robustness of the state’s voting process but also acknowledge the need for a faster count. Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) warned state lawmakers in May that a longer count allows misinformation and disinformation to spread more easily.

But they are split on the best path forward.

▪ The Atlantic: Why California takes so long to count.

OPINION

  • This unassuming congressman may hold the key to the midterms, former Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.) writes in The Hill.
  • There’s nothing to show for the lengthy DHS funding battle, The Washington Post editorial board writes.

THE CLOSER

© The Associated Press | Nick Wass

And finally … It’s Thursday, which means it’s time for the weekly news quiz!

Last night was the annual Congressional Baseball Game, so this week’s quiz will test your knowledge of the game and its history.

Be sure to email your responses to jgans@thehill.com — please add “Quiz” to your subject line. Winners who submit correct answers will receive deserved newsletter fame on Friday.

Since what year has the Congressional Baseball Game been played annually, with the exception of 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic?

1. 1947

2. 1962

3. 1990

4. 2005

Who won the 2026 Congressional Baseball Game?

1. Democrats

2. Republicans

3. The press corps

4. It was a tie.

Which president is the only one to be inducted into the Congressional Baseball Hall of Fame? (Yes, that exists.)

1. George H.W. Bush

2. Bill Clinton

3. Barack Obama

4. Joe Biden

Which former professional baseball player is expected to join Congress next year and potentially tilt the game in one party’s favor?

1. Andy Pettitte

2. Mark Teixeira

3. Steve Garvey

4. Johnny Damon

 

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