Plus: JD Vance touts progress in Iran talks 

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Friday, October 30 | By Sarah Fortinsky and Jared Gans

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In today's issue:

▪ Dem battle lines tested in primaries 

▪ Vance touts progress in Iran talks 

▪ DOJ subpoenas for Walz, Frey tossed 

▪ World Cup endears U.S. to the world 

© The Associated Press | Yuki Iwamura

Democrats battle one another in divisive New York primaries 

The left is fighting the left in New York in a series of divisive Democratic primaries that will be decided on Tuesday, all of which could leave tensions in their wake.  

While much of Washington has been captivated by Republican infighting all year — within the House, between the House and Senate, between President Trump and the Senate and in various primaries — Tuesday will shift the tensions back to Democrats.  

Two of the battles pit candidates backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani against incumbent Democrats backed by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) and other parts of the Democratic establishment. Two Democratic incumbents face challengers, one from a democratic socialist.  

Two-term incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman (D-N.Y.), a frequent face on cable television, faces the stiffest challenge.  

He’s running in the 10th District against former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander, once a rival of Mamdani’s in the mayor’s race who is now receiving Mamdani’s support. Lander is also backed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). In a recent Emerson College Polling survey, Lander led Goldman by more than 30 points.  

In the 13th Congressional District, five-term incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D-N.Y.) is in the toughest fight of his political career, in a race that has also become a test of Mamdani’s influence in city politics, as Jared reports. 

The mayor has campaigned for democratic socialist challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a community organizer, who has sought to capitalize on Mamdani’s popularity and attack the incumbent for past support for Israel. 

Mamdani has supported Chevalier even though Espaillat, a progressive who chairs the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, gave Mamdani a key endorsement after the mayor won the Democratic primary. Espaillat initially backed former Gov. Andrew Cuomo in that race, however, which is perhaps why he is now battling for his political life against a Mamdani-backed challenger.  

Multiple reports have suggested that Espaillat understood Mamdani would back him in return for his endorsement, which means there could be bad blood from the race regardless of how it turns out. 

“He will have diminished level of trust with a lot of people because everyone here knows, and most elected officials know, that there was a commitment to be with Adriano that was reneged upon,” one New York Democratic strategist involved in multiple primary races told Jared for his story earlier this week.  

The proxy battle between socialists and liberals in the Democratic Party is also playing out in the 7th Congressional District, The Hill’s Caroline Vakil reports.  

Retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez (D-N.Y.) has thrown her support behind Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, but Mamdani and Sanders have endorsed democratic socialist Claire Valdez. 

Ill feelings also characterize this race, where Velázquez is not pleased, to say the least, that Mamdani and democratic socialists are seeking to take out Reynoso after Velázquez backed Mamdani for mayor.  

New York Attorney General Letitia James, who is backing Reynoso, noted Velázquez’s fury over the Mamdani move in an interview for a New York Times story over the weekend. “I’ve never heard her use more four-letter words,” James said.  

Another fraught Democratic battle is taking place in New York’s 12th Congressional District, where Democratic primary voters will select their nominee to replace Rep. Jerry Nadler (D), who’s retiring after more than 30 years of representing the deep-blue Manhattan district. 

Three candidates are locked in a virtual tie for the lead in the crowded primary field, according to Decision Desk HQ’s polling aggregator: New York State Assemblymember Alex Bores leads with 18.9 percent, fellow Assemblymember Micah Lasher gets 18 percent, and Kennedy scion Jack Schlossberg follows with 17.2 percent. 

George Conway, the former GOP attorney-turned Trump critic, comes in fourth with 10.9 percent. Schlossberg started off with an early lead but has since seen his numbers decline. Bores led in three recent polls, while Lasher led in the most recent Emerson poll. 

This race also has exposed divisions within the Democratic Party: Bores is backed by labor and teacher unions, progressive groups and former Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.), who represented part of the district for three decades before redistricting forced her and Nadler into a 2022 primary.  

Lasher, meanwhile, collected endorsements from Nadler, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) and independent former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg. And former Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) has thrown her weight behind former President John F. Kennedy’s only living grandson. 

Moderate Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) faces a challenge from the left in former Assemblymember Michael Blake, who battled Torres in 2020 for the nomination in the 15th Congressional District. Mamdani has not weighed in on the race — the district is one of the few that he lost to Cuomo in the mayoral primary last summer — and Blake’s bid has not gained the traction of some of his fellow leftist challengers. 

And north of the city, in the 17th Congressional District, five Democrats are battling for the chance to take on Rep. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.), whose swing suburban district will be a top target for Democrats in November, when they hope to take back the House. 

▪ Spectrum News: More than 276K vote early in New York primaries. 

▪ The Associated Press: NY candidates make final case before Election Day. 

 

3 Things to Know Today

 
  1. A ransom note sent during the investigation into the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie said the 84-year-old had died, sources close to the investigation told NewsNation. The note said her death was unintentional and she was “buried with nature now.” 
  2. Acting Director of National Intelligence Bill Pulte has begun firing agency workers, multiple outlets have reported. The controversial head had reportedly pledged to cut hundreds of positions. 
  3. A federal judge has blocked bans on the use of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program for soda. They found the U.S. Department of Agriculture didn’t have the authority to cut out types of food covered by the program. 

LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press | Manuel Balce Ceneta

HEADING HOME: Vice President Vance returned to the U.S. after spending the past couple of days in Switzerland for the start of talks to achieve a permanent end to the Iran war. 

Vance heralded what he said was significant progress made on the first day of talks, calling it a “very good foundation.” 

“Yesterday was a very, very good day. We made a lot of good progress. We did exactly what we wanted to do,” he said Monday. 

The vice president led the talks along with U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner. 

Vance pointed to four major accomplishments he said were reached during the talks, including the creation of mechanisms to demine the Strait of Hormuz and the establishment of a process for technical talks that will follow. 

He also touted that Iran agreed to permit inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency back into the country, a system that was in place during the duration of former President Obama’s 2015 nuclear deal with Iran. Tehran hasn’t confirmed that it has agreed to this. 

Vance said the inspectors are expected to restart their work as soon as this week. 

“Letting in the inspectors is a big deal — but again, we're going to see what they actually let the inspectors do once they're in the country. That's going to continually be part of our negotiation,” Vance told reporters before departing Switzerland. 

The launch of the talks kicked off the 60-day window for negotiators to reach a final deal to end the conflict and achieve a resolution on Iran’s nuclear program. Vance signaled efforts to reach a deal will continue in his absence. 

“I’m about to go back home to the United States, but the technical teams are going to be working with proper oversight to make sure that we’re accomplishing the objectives that matter for everybody,” he said. 

While Vance has largely been in the spotlight during the negotiations, Secretary of State Marco Rubio will visit multiple Gulf allies during a multi-day trip this week, planning to make stops in the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Bahrain. 

Vance’s role in leading the talks continues to get deep scrutiny given its 2028 implications. The vice president is the clear frontrunner for the GOP presidential nomination, with Rubio as a potential rival.  

Chris Stirewalt, the politics editor of The Hill and host of The Hill Sunday, writes Tuesday about the potential for a “JD vs. AOC” battle in 2028. Both Vance and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) would face challenges in becoming the standard-bearer for their parties, but both could also make compelling cases.  

He also points out the obvious risks for Vance in being the face of the Iran talks.  

“He keeps getting served up unappetizing fare,” Stirewalt writes. “Right now, the menu consists of negotiating a peace deal with Iran that is guaranteed, at least in the short term, to be unpopular. Whatever Iran gets, hawks will say it is too much. Whatever the United States gets, doves will say it is less than we would have had if Vance’s boss had never started the war. Or he may get nothing and please no one.” 

Vance is also the subject of The New York Times lead story online on Tuesday, which focused on how Trump is creating disruptions in his path as he leads the Iran talks.  

 ▪ The Hill: Mixed messages on status of Strait of Hormuz. 

▪ The Hill: Iran-U.S. deal faces various threats. 

OUT THE WINDOW: A federal judge has thrown out subpoenas from the Department of Justice (DOJ) aimed at Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D), Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey (D) and other state and local officials. 

U.S. District Judge Patrick Schiltz, an appointee of former President George W. Bush, wrote in his decision that he has “no doubt” that the DOJ’s subpoenas were designed to “harass” the president’s political opponents into cooperating with federal immigration enforcement priorities. 

The DOJ issued the subpoenas to Walz and Frey in January, accusing them of obstructing a federal law enforcement investigation. They were issued as Walz and Frey led backlash to the federal government’s immigration enforcement surge in Minneapolis following the shooting of Renée Good by a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent. 

Alex Pretti, an ICU nurse, was killed in another incident by federal officers days later, reigniting protests across the city. 

Subpoenas were also issued for Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison (D), the office of St. Paul Mayor Kaohly Her and Hennepin County. The officials all derided the subpoenas as politically motivated. 

“On the one hand, the evidence that the challenged subpoenas were issued for unlawful reasons is overwhelming,” Schiltz wrote. “On the other hand, the Department has struggled-without success-to identify a single plausible investigatory justification for the subpoenas.” 

▪ Politico: Judge blocks database of Social Security numbers, citizenship status. 

▪ The New York Times: ICE spent millions on warehouses it wants to vacate. 

BIPARTISAN BREAKTHROUGH: Both houses of Congress notched relatively rare bipartisan agreements Monday as lawmakers look to pass some major legislation before they turn their attention to campaigning ahead of the midterms. 

The Senate passed a major bipartisan housing package Monday in an 85-5 vote, sending it back to the House for consideration. The lower chamber previously approved the legislation but must vote again because the Senate amended the bill. The House is expected to vote on the bill later this week. 

The legislation’s pending success is the result of bipartisan cooperation in both chambers. The package would roll back some permitting regulations, limit corporations from buying up single-family homes, and provide grants and loans for people to rebuild aging homes, among other provisions. 

Meanwhile, House lawmakers announced a bipartisan deal on a package to protect children online after negotiations on an online safety package previously fell apart. Reps. Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.) and Frank Pallone Jr. (D-N.J.) said they found “common ground on policies to significantly improve the digital environment for kids” after months of working together. 

The Kids Internet and Digital Safety Act seeks to hold social media companies accountable for alleged harms that their platforms have had on minors. But major hurdles remain, as senators have signaled the package will be dead in the upper chamber, as a Senate version of the bill is significantly different. 

▪ The Hill: Pete Hegseth giving GOP briefing on military funding goals. 

▪ The Hill: House Intelligence Dems warn Bill Pulte. 

MAKING AN APPEARANCE: Defense attorney Alan Dershowitz will appear before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee next month as part of the panel’s investigation into Jeffrey Epstein. 

Two sources familiar with the planning told The Hill’s Sudiksha Kochi that Dershowitz, who previously represented the disgraced financier, will sit for a transcribed interview on July 20. Dershowitz secured a controversial plea deal for Epstein in 2008 in which he agreed to plead guilty to prostitution charges in exchange for immunity from sex-trafficking charges. 

Dershowitz has faced scrutiny over the agreement, but he has denied any wrongdoing in connection with Epstein’s crimes. He previously told NewsNation that he wants “complete transparency” and is prepared to testify about “everything.” 

▪ The New York Times: Searching for clues in Epstein’s boyhood. 

TAKING A DIP: Global markets dropped Tuesday fueled by a sell-off of tech companies’ stocks that started in the U.S. and spread worldwide. 

Some of the largest U.S. companies experienced drops, including Amazon, the Google owner Alphabet and Elon Musk’s SpaceX. Futures for Nasdaq and S&P 500 both fell early Tuesday morning, suggesting more drops are expected to come once the market opens, The New York Times reported. 

 

WHEN & WHERE

  • The president will depart the White House for Reading, Pa. He will deliver remarks in the nearby borough of Macungie at 2:05 p.m. and then return to Washington. 
  • The Senate will meet at 10 a.m. 
  • The House will convene at noon. 

ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press | Rebecca Blackwell

AMERICA ON DISPLAY: The World Cup has spurred a new appreciation for U.S. food, customs and culture with soccer fans around the world expressing amazement and excitement over the first two weeks of the tournament. 

The Hill’s Dominick Mastrangelo reports supporters of teams from Europe, Asia and the Middle East have been consistently posting on social media with praise for their experiences at bars, convenience stores and restaurants. 

“The America we are experiencing is the one we were promised growing up,” one woman, who is a member of Scotland’s fandom, said in a viral video post. “We were apprehensive about coming, we were expecting to be met by ICE, you know the political climate we all see on the news, and that could not be further from the truth of what we’ve actually experienced.” 

Mastrangelo notes that the quality and quantity of food options have been among the most common points of discussion. Ranch dressing, an American staple not nearly as common in Europe, has become one of the most popular food items. 

On a more serious note, Iran’s team left behind a warm message at SoFi Stadium after their second match, thanking the people of Los Angeles for their hospitality. 

“May peace, respect, and friendship prevail among all nations,” the team said. 

One expert told Mastrangelo the World Cup is also serving as an opportunity for the U.S. to improve its reputation on the global stage. 

▪ NBC News: World Cup team brings joy inside Iran. 

▪ ESPN: Lionel Messi breaks World Cup goal record. 

ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press | Ted S. Warren

PILOT PROGRAM: The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has introduced an initiative to speed up clinical trials to try to keep up with China’s advancements. 

The program is part of a broader plan within the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) called “Operation Trailblazer.” Officials said the program could reduce early trial timelines by six to 12 months as an increasing number of companies have been moving overseas, primarily to China. 

HHS said the shift has threatened the U.S.’s position as a global leader in biomedical innovation. The FDA has traditionally required two late-stage trials for companies to prove the safety and effectiveness of their drugs, but the agency has shown more flexibility recently. 

“We’ve been witness to a growing share of phase 1 clinical trials moving overseas, delaying opportunities for American patients and weakening the nation’s position as a global leader in biomedical research,” acting FDA Commissioner Kyle Diamantas said. “FDA is taking action to reverse that trend.” 

China’s global share of Phase 1 trials surpassed that of the U.S. for the first time in 2021. It surpassed the U.S. for the most clinical trials registered in 2024. 

▪ The Hill: China restricts exports to U.S. defense firms. 

▪ The Hill: GOP leans into allegations that China is fueling AI backlash.

OPINION

  • The White House was the target this time, but every outdoor stadium is at risk, Michael J. Epstein writes in The Hill. 
  • Democrats want control of Congress, but what will they actually do with it? William S. Becker writes in The Hill. 

THE CLOSER

© The Associated Press | Lynne Sladky

And finally … Right-wing commentator Tucker Carlson has further cemented his break with Trump, vowing he would no longer support the Republican Party. 

Carlson said in a recent podcast episode that gained attention Monday that his decision doesn’t mean he will support Democrats, but he doesn’t know how anyone “could support a political party that’s not loyal to the United States,” referring to the GOP. 

“It’s not possible to vote for people like that, and I’m not going to,” he said. “I voted Republican my entire life, I worked at Fox News … I’ve been a consistent defender for 35 years of the Republican Party, but there’s no defending this because it’s immoral.” 

Carlson was previously a strong supporter of the president but broke with him over the Iran war. He expressed regret in April for having backed him, apologizing for “misleading people.” 

“And if I’m out, then I think a lot of other people are out, too,” Carlson said on the recent podcast episode. 

 

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